The emergence of DeepSeek, a Chinese AI model demonstrating greater efficiency than prevailing technologies, raises concerns about potential overcapacity in AI infrastructure investment. DeepSeek's ability to deliver competitive results with fewer and less advanced semiconductors challenges the necessity of the massive quarterly investments in AI infrastructure, which exceed $50 billion. This shift could lead to more sustainable investment patterns, moderating revenue growth for AI chip makers while accelerating AI adoption through cost-efficient alternatives. However, geopolitical concerns and security issues may limit DeepSeek's adoption in Western markets, maintaining the dominance of existing AI chip leaders.

Source: Fitch Ratings