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Amgen Selects Veeva Vault CRM for Global Deployment Veeva Systems (NYSE: VEEV) announced that Amgen plans to deploy Veeva Vault

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L3Harris Pushes KC-135 Avionics Modernization as Tanker Fleet Heads Beyond 2050 L3Harris Technologies (NYSE: LHX) is highlighting its avionics modernization

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Corteva’s Vylor Targets $1 Billion in Wheat Revenue With New Hybrid Technology Corteva (NYSE: CTVA) said Vylor, its planned seed

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FIS Wins Core Banking Business From New $100 Billion Bank and Five New Charters FIS (NYSE: FIS) announced new core

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Sempra Signs 20-Year LNG Supply Deal With Petrobras Sempra Infrastructure, a subsidiary of Sempra (NYSE: SRE), signed a 20-year agreement

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Autodesk Expands Agentic AI Across Forma, Fusion and Flow Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) previewed a new generation of agentic AI capabilities

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Fortinet Invests More Than $60 Million in New York Cybersecurity Innovation Hub Fortinet (NASDAQ: FTNT) has opened a new

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Moody’s to Acquire Minority Stake in Philippine Rating Agency PhilRatings Moody’s Corporation (NYSE: MCO) has agreed to acquire a minority

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09-15-26

S&P 500

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U.S. Stocks Fall as 10-Year Yield Hits 5% and Oil Fuels Fed Hike Fears

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as surging Treasury yields, elevated oil prices and renewed geopolitical tensions outweighed signs of continued job creation.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.96%, while the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.58% and the S&P 500 lost 0.44%. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed above 5%, reaching its highest level since 2007 as investors prepared for Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision. Markets are pricing a roughly 90% probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike.

Economic data offered a mixed picture. Weekly ADP employment growth accelerated to 16,300 from 12,000, suggesting the labor market continues to add jobs. However, the New York Empire State Manufacturing Index dropped to 7.6 in September from 20.6, well below the 14.8 forecast.

Geopolitical risks remain another major headwind. Oil prices have stayed above $100 as renewed attacks involving Iran-aligned Houthis and Saudi Arabia increased concerns over Middle East supply disruptions. Higher energy prices are reinforcing inflation fears.

With bond yields around 5% increasing the relative attractiveness of fixed-income assets and putting pressure on equity valuations, investors are likely to remain cautious ahead of the Fed decision and its guidance on whether additional rate hikes could follow.
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S&P 500 Slips as Tech and Industrials Weigh, Communication Services Leads

U.S. stocks traded modestly lower Monday afternoon, with the S&P 500 down 0.24% at 7,638.81 around 1:43 p.m. EDT, as weakness in technology and industrial shares offset strong gains in communication services and health care.

The session showed a sharp divergence across sectors. Communication Services led the S&P 500 with a 2.77% gain, followed by Health Care at 1.39% and Consumer Staples at 1.33%. At the other end, Industrials fell 1.54%, Utilities dropped 1.12%, and Information Technology declined 1.08%.

Technology remained under pressure after calls from leading AI executives to slow development of the most advanced AI models raised questions about the pace of AI infrastructure investment. Semiconductor stocks were particularly exposed, while some large software and internet companies benefited from a rotation within technology-related shares.

Broader sentiment was also pressured by elevated oil prices and Treasury yields. Brent crude traded above $108 following additional Middle East supply disruptions, while the 10-year Treasury yield briefly reached 5%, intensifying inflation concerns. Markets are now pricing a high probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike this week following hotter U.S. inflation data.

Despite these pressures, the S&P 500 had recovered substantially from its intraday lows by early afternoon, suggesting that strength in defensive sectors and selected mega-cap stocks was helping limit the broader market decline.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Oil Surge, Inflation Fears and AI Selloff Pressure Wall Street

U.S. stocks opened lower on Monday as a renewed surge in oil prices intensified inflation concerns while a selloff in artificial intelligence stocks weighed heavily on the technology sector.

The S&P 500 fell 0.49% to 7,619.13, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.23% to 52,454.22. The tech-heavy Nasdaq underperformed, dropping 0.73% to 26,140.28.

Brent crude jumped more than 4% to around $109 a barrel, adding to concerns that elevated energy costs could keep inflation higher for longer. Those worries are particularly important ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve decision, with markets pricing a high probability of another rate increase after recent inflation data.

Technology shares faced an additional headwind from a reassessment of the AI boom. AI-linked stocks came under pressure after leading industry executives called for slowing the development of increasingly powerful AI models over safety concerns. Nvidia and several semiconductor stocks fell, helping explain the Nasdaq’s sharper decline.

The combination of higher oil prices, renewed inflation risks and uncertainty over the pace of AI investment is putting pressure on equity valuations, particularly high-growth technology stocks.

Treasury Yields Are Climbing. Can Stocks Hold Their Ground?

Rising Treasury yields, persistent inflation, and weakening small caps put pressure on stocks. Here's what investors should watch next.

(articles.stockcharts.com)
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S&P 500 Rises Nearly 1% as Oil Retreat and Tech Rally Lift Wall Street

U.S. stocks rallied Friday, with the S&P 500 rising 0.96% to 7,664.52 in afternoon trading as a pullback in oil prices and strength across technology-related sectors helped Wall Street rebound from Thursday’s decline.

Communication services led the S&P 500 with a 1.48% gain, followed by information technology at 1.37%, industrials at 1.13% and consumer discretionary at 1.11%. Ten of the 11 major sectors were higher, while health care fell 0.26% and utilities slipped 0.12%.

Investors were also digesting August inflation data. Headline CPI increased 0.4% month over month and 3.4% from a year earlier, both matching expectations. Core CPI rose a hotter-than-expected 0.3% monthly, strengthening expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise rates next week. Market-implied odds of a quarter-point hike climbed to nearly 90%. (Reuters)

Technology shares benefited from renewed optimism around AI infrastructure following Oracle’s earnings. Meanwhile, Brent crude retreated about 3% to around $104 a barrel after approaching $110 earlier, providing some relief from the inflation concerns that pressured equities and pushed Treasury yields sharply higher earlier in the week.
U.S. Stock Futures Jump After CPI Data as Oracle Rally and Oil Pullback Lift Sentiment

U.S. stock futures moved sharply higher Friday after August inflation data came broadly in line with expectations, while a pullback in oil prices and strong Oracle earnings helped improve sentiment. S&P 500 futures rose 0.92%, Dow futures gained 0.94%, and Nasdaq futures advanced 1.06%.

Headline CPI increased 0.4% month-over-month in August, matching expectations but accelerating from 0.1% in July. Annual inflation held at 3.4%. Core CPI rose 0.3% on the month, slightly above the 0.2% forecast, while the annual core rate eased to 2.4% from 2.5%. The mixed report leaves inflation concerns alive ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve meeting, particularly after Thursday’s hotter producer-price data.

Energy markets provided some relief. Brent crude fell about 3% to around $104 a barrel after briefly approaching $110, although it remains up strongly for the week. Reports of diplomatic efforts to establish temporary shipping arrangements through the Strait of Hormuz helped cool prices. However, geopolitical risks remain elevated as the U.S.-Iran conflict and attacks on regional shipping continue to restrict oil flows.

Technology stocks were also supported by Oracle, which jumped about 6% in premarket trading after reporting a 30% increase in Q1 revenue to $19.3 billion. Cloud infrastructure revenue surged 121% to $7.4 billion, while remaining performance obligations reached $664 billion amid strong AI demand.

Despite the equity rebound, bond yields remain a key risk. The 10-year Treasury yield is hovering near 4.94%, leaving markets sensitive to inflation, oil prices and changing expectations for the Fed’s September decision.
U.S. Stocks Fall as Hot PPI, Surging Oil and Treasury Yields Pressure Markets

U.S. stocks traded lower Thursday as stronger producer inflation, surging oil prices and rising Treasury yields renewed concerns over the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate outlook. The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.82% to 26,038.95, while the S&P 500 declined 0.52% to 7,596.27 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.24% to 52,256.80.

August producer prices rose 0.4% month over month, matching expectations but accelerating from July. Annual PPI climbed 5.4%, above the 5.3% forecast and up from 4.8%. Core PPI provided some relief, increasing 0.2% month over month versus the 0.3% expected.

Oil extended its surge Thursday, with Brent crude futures jumping 3.5% to $104.75 a barrel. Supply concerns intensified after Saudi Arabia’s August production reportedly plunged 23% to about 6.2 million barrels per day, its lowest level since 1990, as regional conflict disrupted export routes (Financial Times).

Bond markets reacted sharply to the combination of inflation and energy concerns. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.922%, up roughly 8 basis points on the session. Higher yields weighed particularly heavily on technology and other growth stocks, helping explain the Nasdaq’s underperformance.

With Brent now above $104 and producer inflation accelerating, investors face the risk that the energy shock could keep inflation elevated for longer. Attention now turns to Friday’s U.S. CPI report, which could play a decisive role in expectations for next week’s Federal Reserve decision.
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U.S. Stocks Open Lower as Oil Tops $100 and Inflation Concerns Persist

U.S. stocks opened lower Wednesday, extending the previous session’s losses as sharply higher oil prices fueled concerns over inflation and the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate outlook.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.55% to 52,497.96, while the S&P 500 declined 0.32% to 7,648.70. The Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.34% to 26,331.54.

Higher oil prices were a key source of pressure. Brent crude climbed above $100 per barrel for the first time since July as escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and attacks on tankers and energy infrastructure increased concerns about prolonged Middle East supply disruptions. Brent was recently up about 2.8% at $100.66, while WTI gained roughly 3% to $95.77.

The oil rally is adding to inflation concerns ahead of key U.S. inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting next week. Higher energy costs could keep price pressures elevated and complicate the Fed’s interest-rate decision.

Meanwhile, the latest weekly ADP employment estimate showed private payrolls increasing by 12,000, up from the previous week’s 10,000 gain. The modest increase points to continued but relatively subdued hiring momentum.

With oil prices rising and bond yields remaining elevated, investors are increasingly focused on whether renewed energy-driven inflation will force the Fed to maintain a tighter monetary-policy stance.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Rising Oil Prices and Fed Rate-Hike Fears Pressure Wall Street

U.S. stocks opened lower Tuesday as surging oil prices fueled renewed inflation concerns, while investors assessed escalating tensions in the Middle East and the possibility of another Federal Reserve rate hike.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell about 1.2% in morning trading, while the S&P 500 declined 0.5% and the Nasdaq Composite lost roughly 0.5%.

Rising energy prices were a major source of pressure. Brent crude climbed toward the psychologically important $100-per-barrel level as the U.S.-Iran conflict escalated and concerns grew about further disruptions to Middle Eastern oil supplies.

Higher crude prices present a broader problem for equities because sustained increases in energy costs could feed into inflation and make it more difficult for the Fed to ease monetary policy. The concern has intensified following Friday’s stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report, which pushed expectations toward tighter monetary policy.

Treasury yields also remained elevated, adding pressure to equity valuations, particularly in rate-sensitive growth and technology stocks.

Investors are now turning their attention to this week’s U.S. inflation reports. Hotter-than-expected inflation, particularly with oil prices approaching $100, could strengthen expectations for a September Fed rate hike and add further pressure to Wall Street.

Inflation data, Oracle earnings, and an energy supply crunch: What to watch this week

Two questions are set to lead the week: Will the data push the Fed toward a rate hike, and what can Oracle tell Wall Street about the state of Big Tech's AI debt load?

(finance.yahoo.com)
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US Bonds

Treasury Yields Are Climbing. Can Stocks Hold Their Ground?

Rising Treasury yields, persistent inflation, and weakening small caps put pressure on stocks. Here's what investors should watch next.

(articles.stockcharts.com)
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U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Nears 5% as Inflation and Oil Keep Bond Markets Under Pressure

U.S. Treasury yields remained near multi-year highs Friday, with the benchmark 10-year yield trading around 4.94%, just below the psychologically important 5% level. The yield briefly reached about 4.97% earlier as a global bond selloff continued.

The sharp rise in yields has been driven by renewed inflation concerns and expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates next week. U.S. producer prices rose 0.4% in August and 5.4% year-over-year, while the surge in oil prices above $100 a barrel has increased concerns that energy costs could keep inflation elevated. Markets are currently pricing roughly a 70% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed hike. (Reuters)

Pressure has also emerged from the supply side of the Treasury market. The government bought back $5.2 billion of longer-dated bonds in its latest operation, below the $6 billion maximum and well below the $10.5 billion offered by investors. Concerns about heavy government borrowing are adding to the premium investors demand for holding longer-term debt. (Reuters)

Attention now turns to Friday’s U.S. CPI report. A hotter-than-expected inflation reading could push the 10-year yield through 5%, while softer inflation could provide some relief to the bond market ahead of the Fed’s September 15–16 meeting.

Graph: cnbc*com
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U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Surges Above 4.92% as Oil and Inflation Revive Rate-Hike Fears

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.922% on Thursday, rising about 8 basis points and reaching its highest level since 2023 as escalating Middle East tensions, surging oil prices and persistent U.S. inflation fueled a sharp bond-market selloff.

Geopolitical developments remain a major driver. The U.S.-Iran conflict has severely disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea, while attacks on Gulf energy infrastructure have intensified supply concerns.

The resulting oil rally is feeding directly into inflation expectations. Brent crude has climbed above $104 a barrel, while WTI briefly crossed $100 on Thursday. Higher energy costs raise the risk that inflation remains elevated, reducing the likelihood that the Federal Reserve can ease monetary policy and increasing the possibility of another rate hike.

Thursday’s macro data reinforced those concerns. U.S. producer prices rose 0.4% month over month in August, while annual PPI accelerated to 5.4% from 4.8%, slightly exceeding the 5.3% forecast. Traders subsequently raised the probability of at least a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike next week to nearly 70%. (Reuters)

The 10-year yield has now risen sharply from around 4.75% over the past five sessions. With oil prices elevated and Friday’s U.S. CPI report still ahead, the 5% level is increasingly coming into focus as the next major threshold for the Treasury market.

Apple event live updates: First foldable, the iPhone Duo, iPhone 18 Pro, watches, and more

Apple is hosting its annual fall event at its Cupertino, Calif., headquarters.

(finance.yahoo.com)
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Auction Yield Jumps to 4.834% as Oil Fuels Inflation Concerns

The U.S. Treasury’s 10-year note auction cleared at 4.834% on Wednesday, sharply above the 4.683% yield at the previous auction, reflecting the broader rise in long-term U.S. borrowing costs.
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US Stocks Rise as Treasury Bond-Market Support Eases Yield Pressure

U.S. stocks were mostly higher Wednesday as the Treasury Department’s expanded bond-buyback operations continued to support sentiment by easing pressure in the government debt market.

The S&P 500 was up 0.37% at 7,719.85, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.46% to 53,588.62. The Nasdaq Composite, however, slipped 0.05% to 26,277.81, giving back its earlier gains as technology stocks lagged the broader market.

Treasury Intervention Brings Relief to Bonds and Stocks

The main catalyst supporting risk sentiment was Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s move to bolster liquidity in the Treasury market. The department said it would at least double the maximum size of liquidity-support buybacks for longer-dated Treasury securities, increasing operations from $2 billion to at least $4 billion and targeting the 10- to 30-year portion of the curve.

Bond yields dropped sharply following the announcement. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell about 6 basis points to around 4.65%, while the 30-year yield declined roughly 9 basis points to around 5.20%. Treasury prices and yields move inversely.

The action has provided some relief after the recent surge in long-term borrowing costs became a major headwind for equities. The 30-year Treasury yield had climbed to around 5.34% on Tuesday, its highest level in nearly two decades, amid concerns over government borrowing, inflation, the U.S.-Iran conflict and elevated energy prices.

Dow Leads While Nasdaq Loses Momentum

The latest market action shows a divergence beneath the headline indexes. The Dow is now outperforming with a 0.46% gain, while the S&P 500 remains moderately higher. The Nasdaq has reversed its earlier advance and is trading slightly lower.

The reversal suggests that lower Treasury yields have not been enough to sustain the initial rebound in technology stocks. Growth and technology shares remain particularly sensitive to changes in long-term rates because higher yields reduce the present value of expected future earnings.

For the broader market, however, Treasury intervention has eased one of Wall Street’s most immediate concerns and helped stabilize financial conditions.

Investors will continue to monitor the Treasury market, oil prices and developments surrounding the U.S.-Iran conflict. The Federal Reserve’s July meeting minutes are also in focus for additional clues about the outlook for monetary policy, inflation and interest rates.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Iran Conflict, Rising Oil Prices and Treasury Yields Pressure Markets

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as the continuing U.S.-Iran conflict pushed oil prices higher and intensified concerns about inflation and interest rates, with technology stocks leading the decline.

The Nasdaq Composite fell 1.3% to 26,301, underperforming the broader market. The S&P 500 declined 0.49% to 7,707, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.06% at 53,429.

The risk-off move comes as hopes for a lasting resolution to the U.S.-Iran conflict fade. Iran has shifted toward a more offensive military posture after efforts to negotiate a permanent end to the conflict stalled, while Washington declined to extend the temporary ceasefire.

Oil and Bond Yields Add Pressure

Energy markets remain one of the main channels through which the conflict is affecting U.S. equities. Brent crude rose for a third consecutive session Tuesday, trading around $91 per barrel and reaching its highest level in nearly three weeks as continued restrictions around the Strait of Hormuz raised concerns about global oil supplies.

Higher oil prices are feeding concerns that energy costs could keep inflation elevated, complicating the outlook for monetary policy.

Those concerns have spilled into the bond market. The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield climbed as high as 5.327%, its highest level since 2007, while the benchmark 10-year yield was also around 4.73%. The rise in long-term yields reflects a combination of inflation concerns related to the conflict and oil prices, alongside broader worries about U.S. borrowing and debt issuance.

The combination of higher energy prices and rising bond yields is particularly challenging for growth and technology stocks, helping explain the Nasdaq's sharper decline.

Latest U.S. Data Point to Softer Economic Momentum

Tuesday's economic releases added another layer of uncertainty.

U.S. housing starts dropped 12.4% month-over-month in July to an annualized 1.239 million units, well below expectations of 1.340 million and down sharply from 1.415 million previously.

Industrial production increased just 0.2% month-over-month in July, below the 0.3% forecast and previous reading. On a year-over-year basis, production growth slowed to 1.08% from 1.29%.

The labor market offered a somewhat stronger signal. Weekly ADP employment growth came in at 9,500 jobs, up from 8,300 previously.

Taken together, the data point to uneven economic momentum: employment continues to expand, but housing activity weakened sharply and industrial production grew more slowly than expected.

For Wall Street, however, geopolitics remains the dominant driver Tuesday. As long as the U.S.-Iran conflict keeps Brent crude elevated and pushes longer-term Treasury yields higher, pressure on equity valuations — particularly in the technology sector — is likely to remain a central market risk.
Inflation is increasingly in focus for the US bond market and the Fed, says Mike Mitchell, head of US Treasury and Inflation Trading at Goldman Sachs.

(goldmansachs.com)
U.S. 6-Month Treasury Bill Yield Falls to 3.830%

The U.S. Treasury's latest six-month bill auction produced a yield of 3.830%, down slightly from 3.855% at the previous auction.
U.S. Treasury Auction Yields Rise Ahead of Fed Decision as Investors Demand Higher Returns

U.S. Treasury yields moved higher on Monday after the Treasury’s latest debt auctions cleared at higher yields than the previous sales, reflecting investor caution ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve meeting and a busy slate of economic data.

The U.S. Treasury’s $69 billion 2-year note auction stopped at a high yield of 4.315%, up from 4.189% at the previous auction. Later in the day, the $70 billion 5-year note auction also cleared at a higher yield of 4.408%, compared with 4.200% previously.

The higher stop-out yields suggest investors demanded greater compensation to hold U.S. government debt, a sign that bond markets remain cautious about the outlook for interest rates and inflation. Treasury auctions are closely watched because they provide insight into investor demand for government securities and can influence borrowing costs across financial markets.

The auctions came just hours after softer-than-expected U.S. durable goods orders data, which pointed to moderating business investment but did little to change expectations that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at this week’s policy meeting.

Higher Treasury yields can weigh on equity valuations, particularly in growth sectors such as technology, by increasing discount rates used to value future earnings.

With the Federal Reserve’s policy announcement, key inflation data, and earnings from several mega-cap technology companies all due later this week, investors are likely to remain focused on the bond market for further signals about the direction of monetary policy and the broader U.S. economy.
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NYSE:LLY

Eli Lilly Highlights Strong Retatrutide Weight-Loss Data Ahead of EASD 2026

Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) will present new clinical data across its obesity and diabetes portfolio at the EASD 2026 meeting, with updates covering retatrutide, Foundayo, Mounjaro and the experimental eloraTZP combination.

Among the most notable results, Lilly’s Phase 3 TRIUMPH-2 trial showed that adults with obesity or overweight and type 2 diabetes taking retatrutide lost up to an average of 49.6 pounds, or 20.8% of body weight, over 80 weeks. A1C levels declined by as much as an average of 1.6 percentage points. Retatrutide is a once-weekly drug targeting GIP, GLP-1 and glucagon receptors.

Lilly will also unveil Phase 2 results for eloraTZP, which combines eloralintide with tirzepatide. Earlier Phase 1 data showed 17% weight loss over 16 weeks with the combination, compared with 10% for tirzepatide alone. Meanwhile, Foundayo data showed potentially favorable cardiovascular signals in patients with type 2 diabetes.

The results highlight Lilly’s strategy to build a broader next-generation obesity franchise beyond Zepbound and Mounjaro, with oral, triple-agonist and combination therapies targeting different segments of the rapidly expanding cardiometabolic market.
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Eli Lilly Completes AtaiBeckley Acquisition to Expand Mental Health Drug Pipeline

Eli Lilly has completed its acquisition of AtaiBeckley, strengthening the pharmaceutical company’s neuroscience pipeline with experimental therapies targeting treatment-resistant depression and other mental health conditions.

AtaiBeckley is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing rapid-acting neuroplastogens. Its lead investigational program, BPL-003, is being developed for treatment-resistant depression, a condition in which patients continue to experience symptoms despite multiple treatment attempts.

The acquisition gives Lilly access to a pipeline designed around rapid-acting therapies that could potentially reduce reliance on chronic dosing. Lilly said it plans to advance AtaiBeckley’s programs as part of its broader neuroscience strategy.

The transaction was completed after receiving approval from AtaiBeckley shareholders at a special meeting. Financial terms were not disclosed in the announcement.

The deal further expands Lilly beyond its major diabetes and obesity franchises as the company invests across neuroscience, oncology and immunology, with AtaiBeckley adding a new approach to its mental health drug development portfolio.
Eli Lilly Reports Strong One-Year Results for Taltz and Zepbound Combination

Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) announced positive 52-week Phase 3b data Monday showing that Taltz and Zepbound used together produced durable improvements in adults with psoriatic disease and obesity.

The results come from the TOGETHER-PsO and TOGETHER-PsA trials, which compared Taltz plus Zepbound with Taltz alone. The combination had already demonstrated statistically superior results at the Week 36 primary endpoint, and Lilly said those improvements were maintained or further strengthened through Week 52.

In the psoriasis trial, 30.6% of patients receiving the combination achieved both complete skin clearance and at least 10% weight loss, compared with 4.4% receiving Taltz alone. Complete skin clearance was achieved by 40.5% of combination-treated patients versus 29.1% with Taltz alone.

Results were also strong in psoriatic arthritis. About 39.2% of patients receiving both drugs achieved at least a 50% improvement in disease activity together with at least 10% weight loss, compared with just 1.7% in the Taltz-only group. The proportion achieving a 50% improvement in disease activity reached 43.7% versus 15.7% with monotherapy.

The combination also produced sustained or improved results across measures including systemic inflammation, BMI, blood pressure, glucose, HbA1c, triglycerides and cholesterol. No new safety concerns were identified, with adverse events generally mild to moderate and consistent with the known profiles of the two medicines.

The findings are significant for Lilly because they suggest Zepbound's role could extend beyond weight management when used alongside established therapies for diseases closely associated with obesity. The data could strengthen the company's position across both the rapidly growing obesity market and immunology, while supporting a broader strategy of treating interconnected metabolic and inflammatory diseases.
FDA Approves Lilly’s Mounjaro to Reduce Cardiovascular Risk in Type 2 Diabetes

Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) received U.S. FDA approval for Mounjaro (tirzepatide) to reduce the risk of major cardiovascular events in adults with type 2 diabetes who are at high risk, significantly expanding the drug’s clinical profile beyond blood-sugar control.

The new indication covers cardiovascular death, non-fatal heart attack and non-fatal stroke. Lilly said Mounjaro is now the first and only GIP/GLP-1 receptor agonist proven to lower these cardiovascular risks in high-risk adults with type 2 diabetes, alongside its established A1C and weight-loss benefits.

Approval was based on the large SURPASS-CVOT Phase 3 trial involving more than 13,000 patients. Mounjaro demonstrated non-inferiority to Lilly’s Trulicity, an established GLP-1 therapy with cardiovascular benefits, and recorded an 8% lower rate of cardiovascular death, heart attack or stroke. However, statistical superiority over Trulicity was not established.

The approval is commercially important for Lilly because it strengthens Mounjaro’s competitive position in the rapidly expanding incretin market. Cardiovascular benefits have become an increasingly important differentiator for GLP-1-based medicines, and the broader label could support greater adoption of Mounjaro among high-risk diabetes patients.
Eli Lilly Highlights Zepbound Healthcare Cost Savings in Older Adults

Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) released new real-world evidence showing that sustained use of its obesity drug Zepbound (tirzepatide) was associated with substantially lower healthcare costs among adults over age 55 with obesity or overweight.

The study found that patients remaining on Zepbound had lower rates of hospital admissions and emergency department visits than comparable untreated patients, with estimated healthcare savings increasing as treatment continued.

Healthcare Savings Increase Over Time

At six months, healthcare costs were as much as 15% lower for patients treated with Zepbound, representing savings of up to $181 per patient per month.

By 12 months, the difference widened substantially. Depending on the analytical method used, estimated savings ranged from $319 to $607 per patient per month, equivalent to approximately 25%-38% lower healthcare costs.

The study also found lower hospital admission and emergency department utilization across follow-up periods among Zepbound-treated patients in the primary analysis.

Findings Could Strengthen Zepbound's Economic Case

The results are potentially important for Lilly because they address one of the central questions surrounding widespread GLP-1 obesity treatment: whether the relatively high cost of medication can eventually be offset by reductions in other healthcare spending.

Lilly noted that estimated healthcare savings beginning at six months nearly covered the $195 monthly treatment cost under Medicare's GLP-1 Bridge program. By 12 months, estimated savings exceeded that monthly treatment cost.

That could strengthen the economic argument for broader payer and Medicare coverage of obesity medications, potentially supporting long-term adoption of Zepbound.

Important Limitation

The findings require some caution. This was a retrospective observational study rather than a randomized clinical trial. It included 15,843 adults over age 55, with Zepbound users matched with similar people who did not initiate a GLP-1 or GIP/GLP-1 treatment.

More importantly, the reported healthcare costs excluded the actual cost of Zepbound because claims data did not capture its net price. Therefore, the study demonstrates potential savings elsewhere in the healthcare system rather than proving that Zepbound reduces total healthcare spending after the drug's cost is included.

For Lilly, however, the study provides potentially valuable real-world evidence supporting Zepbound's broader economic benefits beyond weight loss. If similar findings are confirmed over longer periods, they could strengthen Lilly's case with insurers, employers and government programs for expanded obesity-drug coverage.
Eli Lilly (LLY) Stock Rises After Strong Q2 Earnings, Raises 2026 Guidance on Obesity Drug Strength

Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) shares gained around 2.4% on Wednesday after the pharmaceutical giant reported another quarter of exceptional financial results, raised its full-year 2026 guidance, and highlighted continued momentum across its blockbuster obesity and diabetes portfolio.

The earnings report was released as broader U.S. markets traded modestly higher. Investors looked past a weaker-than-expected ADP employment report and focused on stronger-than-expected S&P Global Services and Composite PMI data, which pointed to resilient business activity in the U.S. economy.

Revenue Jumps 48% as Mounjaro and Zepbound Continue to Drive Growth

Lilly reported second-quarter revenue of $23.0 billion, a 48% increase from the same period last year, driven primarily by strong demand for Mounjaro and Zepbound.

Key second-quarter results included:

* Revenue: $23.0 billion (+48% year over year)
* GAAP EPS: $7.94 (+26%)
* Non-GAAP EPS: $8.38 (+33%)
* GAAP net income: $7.1 billion (+25%)

The company said global sales volume increased 60% from a year earlier, more than offsetting lower realized prices. Revenue outside the United States surged 80%, reflecting accelerating international adoption of Mounjaro, while U.S. revenue rose 33%.

Gross margin improved to 85.8%, supported by favorable product mix and manufacturing efficiencies despite pricing pressure.

Lilly Raises Full-Year 2026 Guidance

One of the biggest catalysts for investors was management's improved outlook for the remainder of the year.

Lilly now expects:

* Full-year revenue of $85.0 billion to $87.0 billion
* Updated non-GAAP EPS guidance of $35.50 to $36.50
* Underlying operational EPS guidance increased by $2.78 at the midpoint before acquisition-related research and development charges

The raised guidance reflects management's confidence that demand for its leading diabetes and obesity medicines will remain strong throughout 2026.

Retatrutide and Pipeline Progress Strengthen Long-Term Outlook

Beyond current commercial performance, Lilly continued making significant progress across its pipeline.

The company announced positive Phase 3 data from three additional retatrutide obesity trials, completing the clinical package needed to support regulatory filings for obesity, obstructive sleep apnea, and knee osteoarthritis pain. Lilly plans to submit the treatment to the U.S. FDA during the first quarter of 2027.

Additional regulatory milestones included:

* FDA approval of Ebglyss for an expanded maintenance dosing schedule in atopic dermatitis.
* European Commission approval of Jaypirca for chronic lymphocytic leukemia across all treatment lines.
* Submission of oral GLP-1 candidate orforglipron for Type 2 diabetes in the United States.

Manufacturing Expansion and Acquisitions Support Future Growth

Lilly continued investing aggressively to expand its long-term growth platform.

During the quarter, the company completed acquisitions of Orna Therapeutics, Ajax Therapeutics, Centessa Pharmaceuticals, and Kelonia Therapeutics. After quarter-end, Lilly completed three additional acquisitions to build an infectious disease portfolio and also agreed to acquire AtaiBeckley.

The company also committed an additional $4.5 billion to expand manufacturing facilities in Indiana, further increasing production capacity for its rapidly growing product portfolio.

What Investors Are Watching

Wednesday's earnings reinforced Lilly's position as one of the pharmaceutical industry's strongest growth stories. Exceptional revenue growth, higher full-year guidance, continued leadership in the rapidly expanding obesity market, and a deep late-stage pipeline all strengthened investor confidence.

Going forward, investors will closely watch continued demand for Mounjaro and Zepbound, regulatory progress for retatrutide and orforglipron, integration of recent acquisitions, and whet
Eli Lilly Holds Steady as Analysts Remain Positive on Obesity Drug Growth

Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) traded roughly flat after receiving supportive analyst commentary from two Wall Street firms. Berenberg raised its price target to $1,135 from $1,050 while maintaining a Hold rating, and Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated its Overweight rating on the stock.

The analyst actions reflect continued confidence in Lilly's long-term growth prospects, driven primarily by the success of its diabetes and obesity treatments. The company remains one of the largest beneficiaries of the rapidly expanding weight-loss drug market, where demand continues to exceed expectations globally.

Investors remain focused on the growth trajectory of Lilly's obesity franchise, including Zepbound, as well as the company's broader pipeline across cardiometabolic diseases, oncology, and neuroscience. Strong demand for GLP-1 therapies has fueled substantial revenue growth and positioned Lilly as one of the pharmaceutical sector's most closely watched companies.

Despite the positive analyst commentary, the stock was little changed. Nevertheless, the higher price target from Berenberg and continued bullish stance from Cantor Fitzgerald indicate that analysts remain optimistic about Lilly's ability to sustain earnings growth as demand for obesity and diabetes treatments continues to expand worldwide.
Eli Lilly Surges 8% as GLP-1 Drugs Deliver Another Blowout Quarter

Eli Lilly shares are up 8% in trading on April 30, on track for their biggest single-day gain in three months, after a Q1 2026 earnings report that smashed Wall Street expectations across the board.

Revenue rose 56% year-over-year to $19.8 billion, well above the $17.62 billion consensus, while adjusted EPS came in at $8.55, crushing expectations of $6.66. The engine behind the beat was familiar: Mounjaro revenues soared 125% to $8.66 billion, beating estimates by more than $1 billion, while Zepbound generated $4.16 billion in US revenue, up 80% year-over-year. Together, GLP-1 drugs accounted for roughly two-thirds of total sales. (CNBC, Invezz)

On guidance, Lilly raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $82 to $85 billion, up $2 billion from prior estimates, and lifted adjusted EPS guidance to $35.50 to $37 per share. (CNBC)

The new wildcard is Foundayo, the FDA-approved GLP-1 pill that launched in Q2 and was not included in these results. Early prescription data showed just 3,707 scripts in the week ended April 17, below analyst expectations of around 8,000, making its ramp the key watch item for the rest of 2026 as Lilly competes head-on with Novo Nordisk's rival pill. (Invezz)

Analyst commentary suggests Mounjaro is on track to become the world's best-selling drug, further supporting Lilly's valuation prospects. (Quartz)
Eli Lilly and Company has agreed to acquire Ajax Therapeutics in a deal worth up to $2.3 billion, aiming to strengthen its portfolio in blood cancer treatments.

The acquisition centers on Ajax’s lead drug candidate, AJ1-11095, a first-in-class Type II JAK2 inhibitor currently in Phase 1 trials for myelofibrosis patients previously treated with existing therapies. Early-stage data for the drug are expected later in 2026, with dose selection also anticipated this year.

AJ1-11095 targets JAK2 through a different binding mechanism compared to currently approved Type I inhibitors, potentially offering deeper and more durable disease control, particularly for patients who develop resistance or lose response to existing treatments.

The transaction expands Lilly’s oncology capabilities, particularly in myeloproliferative neoplasms such as myelofibrosis and polycythemia vera, where treatment durability remains a key unmet need.

The deal includes an upfront payment and milestone-based payments tied to clinical and regulatory progress. Closing remains subject to regulatory approvals and customary conditions.

Source: PRNewswire
Eli Lilly and Company announced it will acquire Kelonia Therapeutics in a deal valued at up to $7 billion, strengthening its position in genetic medicine and next-generation cancer therapies.

Kelonia’s proprietary iGPS® platform enables in vivo CAR-T therapy, allowing the patient’s body to generate CAR-T cells directly, eliminating the need for complex external cell manufacturing. Its lead candidate, KLN-1010, is currently in Phase 1 trials for multiple myeloma and has shown encouraging early clinical results.

Lilly expects the acquisition to simplify CAR-T treatment, improving accessibility, reducing costs, and enabling faster, more scalable “off-the-shelf” therapies. The technology also has potential applications across a wider range of cancers and serious diseases.

Under the terms, Kelonia shareholders will receive $3.25 billion upfront, with additional milestone payments bringing the total value to up to $7 billion. The deal is expected to close in the second half of 2026, subject to regulatory approvals.
PRNewswire
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US

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U.S. Stocks Fall as 10-Year Yield Hits 5% and Oil Fuels Fed Hike Fears

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as surging Treasury yields, elevated oil prices and renewed geopolitical tensions outweighed signs of continued job creation.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.96%, while the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.58% and the S&P 500 lost 0.44%. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed above 5%, reaching its highest level since 2007 as investors prepared for Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision. Markets are pricing a roughly 90% probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike.

Economic data offered a mixed picture. Weekly ADP employment growth accelerated to 16,300 from 12,000, suggesting the labor market continues to add jobs. However, the New York Empire State Manufacturing Index dropped to 7.6 in September from 20.6, well below the 14.8 forecast.

Geopolitical risks remain another major headwind. Oil prices have stayed above $100 as renewed attacks involving Iran-aligned Houthis and Saudi Arabia increased concerns over Middle East supply disruptions. Higher energy prices are reinforcing inflation fears.

With bond yields around 5% increasing the relative attractiveness of fixed-income assets and putting pressure on equity valuations, investors are likely to remain cautious ahead of the Fed decision and its guidance on whether additional rate hikes could follow.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Oil Surge, Inflation Fears and AI Selloff Pressure Wall Street

U.S. stocks opened lower on Monday as a renewed surge in oil prices intensified inflation concerns while a selloff in artificial intelligence stocks weighed heavily on the technology sector.

The S&P 500 fell 0.49% to 7,619.13, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.23% to 52,454.22. The tech-heavy Nasdaq underperformed, dropping 0.73% to 26,140.28.

Brent crude jumped more than 4% to around $109 a barrel, adding to concerns that elevated energy costs could keep inflation higher for longer. Those worries are particularly important ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve decision, with markets pricing a high probability of another rate increase after recent inflation data.

Technology shares faced an additional headwind from a reassessment of the AI boom. AI-linked stocks came under pressure after leading industry executives called for slowing the development of increasingly powerful AI models over safety concerns. Nvidia and several semiconductor stocks fell, helping explain the Nasdaq’s sharper decline.

The combination of higher oil prices, renewed inflation risks and uncertainty over the pace of AI investment is putting pressure on equity valuations, particularly high-growth technology stocks.

Fed rate hike odds surge to 90% on monthly jump in core prices

Markets are now betting on a 90% chance of a rate hike at Wednesday's Fed policy meeting.

(finance.yahoo.com)
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U.S. Consumer Sentiment Drops as Inflation Expectations Jump to 4.6%

U.S. consumer sentiment deteriorated sharply in September while near-term inflation expectations climbed, adding to concerns about the outlook for household spending and price pressures.

The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 47.8 from 51.7, well below the 51.0 forecast. Consumer expectations weakened even more, dropping to 45.8 from 51.5 and missing expectations of 50.5.

At the same time, one-year inflation expectations jumped to 4.6% from 4.0%, significantly above the 4.2% forecast. The increase comes as elevated oil prices and broader inflation concerns remain in focus.

The data presents a difficult combination for the Federal Reserve: weakening consumer confidence alongside rising inflation expectations. It follows August CPI data showing headline inflation at 3.4% year-over-year and could complicate the Fed’s policy decision next week.
U.S. Stock Futures Jump After CPI Data as Oracle Rally and Oil Pullback Lift Sentiment

U.S. stock futures moved sharply higher Friday after August inflation data came broadly in line with expectations, while a pullback in oil prices and strong Oracle earnings helped improve sentiment. S&P 500 futures rose 0.92%, Dow futures gained 0.94%, and Nasdaq futures advanced 1.06%.

Headline CPI increased 0.4% month-over-month in August, matching expectations but accelerating from 0.1% in July. Annual inflation held at 3.4%. Core CPI rose 0.3% on the month, slightly above the 0.2% forecast, while the annual core rate eased to 2.4% from 2.5%. The mixed report leaves inflation concerns alive ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve meeting, particularly after Thursday’s hotter producer-price data.

Energy markets provided some relief. Brent crude fell about 3% to around $104 a barrel after briefly approaching $110, although it remains up strongly for the week. Reports of diplomatic efforts to establish temporary shipping arrangements through the Strait of Hormuz helped cool prices. However, geopolitical risks remain elevated as the U.S.-Iran conflict and attacks on regional shipping continue to restrict oil flows.

Technology stocks were also supported by Oracle, which jumped about 6% in premarket trading after reporting a 30% increase in Q1 revenue to $19.3 billion. Cloud infrastructure revenue surged 121% to $7.4 billion, while remaining performance obligations reached $664 billion amid strong AI demand.

Despite the equity rebound, bond yields remain a key risk. The 10-year Treasury yield is hovering near 4.94%, leaving markets sensitive to inflation, oil prices and changing expectations for the Fed’s September decision.

Trump promises Americans $5,000. On our numbers, an 85% chance you never see it. | Noah Intelligence

Congress has to pass it, somebody has to find $1.35 trillion, and no bill exists. Three scenarios put abandonment or dilution at 85%, leaving a 15% chance the $5,000 as promised reaches anyone at all.

(noah-news.com)
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U.S. Jobless Claims Remain Stable as Housing Sales Fall and GDPNow Estimate Eases

U.S. economic data released Thursday painted a mixed picture, with the labor market remaining relatively resilient while housing activity weakened and the Atlanta Fed lowered its estimate for third-quarter economic growth.

Initial jobless claims came in at 206,000, slightly above the 205,000 forecast but down from 207,000 previously. Continuing claims declined to 1.774 million from 1.775 million, also coming in below expectations of 1.780 million. The figures suggest layoffs remain contained despite tighter financial conditions.

Meanwhile, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate for third-quarter growth was lowered to 4.4% from 4.7%, pointing to some moderation in the pace of economic expansion.

Housing data showed clearer weakness. Existing home sales fell 2.0% month over month in August to an annualized 3.98 million units, matching expectations but declining from 4.06 million in July.

Overall, the data showed an economy that remains relatively firm but is losing some momentum. For the Federal Reserve, resilient jobless claims combined with elevated inflation and surging energy prices could complicate the case for monetary easing, even as softer housing activity and the lower GDPNow estimate point to emerging growth risks.
U.S. Stocks Fall as Hot PPI, Surging Oil and Treasury Yields Pressure Markets

U.S. stocks traded lower Thursday as stronger producer inflation, surging oil prices and rising Treasury yields renewed concerns over the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate outlook. The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.82% to 26,038.95, while the S&P 500 declined 0.52% to 7,596.27 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.24% to 52,256.80.

August producer prices rose 0.4% month over month, matching expectations but accelerating from July. Annual PPI climbed 5.4%, above the 5.3% forecast and up from 4.8%. Core PPI provided some relief, increasing 0.2% month over month versus the 0.3% expected.

Oil extended its surge Thursday, with Brent crude futures jumping 3.5% to $104.75 a barrel. Supply concerns intensified after Saudi Arabia’s August production reportedly plunged 23% to about 6.2 million barrels per day, its lowest level since 1990, as regional conflict disrupted export routes (Financial Times).

Bond markets reacted sharply to the combination of inflation and energy concerns. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.922%, up roughly 8 basis points on the session. Higher yields weighed particularly heavily on technology and other growth stocks, helping explain the Nasdaq’s underperformance.

With Brent now above $104 and producer inflation accelerating, investors face the risk that the energy shock could keep inflation elevated for longer. Attention now turns to Friday’s U.S. CPI report, which could play a decisive role in expectations for next week’s Federal Reserve decision.
U.S. Consumer Sentiment Improves in September, While Confidence Weakens in Canada and Mexico

Consumer sentiment across North America diverged in September, according to the latest Thomson Reuters/Ipsos Primary Consumer Sentiment Index readings.

In the United States, the PCSI rose to 50.45 from 49.38 in August, indicating an improvement in household sentiment after the previous month’s decline. The index measures consumers’ views on economic conditions, personal finances, purchasing comfort, job security and expectations.

Canada moved in the opposite direction, with the index falling to 47.35 from 48.19. Canadian households have remained cautious amid affordability pressures, trade uncertainty and concerns about inflation and the broader economic outlook.

Mexico’s PCSI also weakened, declining to 50.84 from 52.77 in August.

The September figures therefore point to improving consumer confidence in the U.S., while sentiment deteriorated in both Canada and Mexico.
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U.S. Stocks Open Lower as Oil Tops $100 and Inflation Concerns Persist

U.S. stocks opened lower Wednesday, extending the previous session’s losses as sharply higher oil prices fueled concerns over inflation and the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate outlook.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.55% to 52,497.96, while the S&P 500 declined 0.32% to 7,648.70. The Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.34% to 26,331.54.

Higher oil prices were a key source of pressure. Brent crude climbed above $100 per barrel for the first time since July as escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and attacks on tankers and energy infrastructure increased concerns about prolonged Middle East supply disruptions. Brent was recently up about 2.8% at $100.66, while WTI gained roughly 3% to $95.77.

The oil rally is adding to inflation concerns ahead of key U.S. inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting next week. Higher energy costs could keep price pressures elevated and complicate the Fed’s interest-rate decision.

Meanwhile, the latest weekly ADP employment estimate showed private payrolls increasing by 12,000, up from the previous week’s 10,000 gain. The modest increase points to continued but relatively subdued hiring momentum.

With oil prices rising and bond yields remaining elevated, investors are increasingly focused on whether renewed energy-driven inflation will force the Fed to maintain a tighter monetary-policy stance.
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NASDAQ:AAPL

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Apple Rolls Out Siri AI Across Its Software Platforms

Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) has begun rolling out major software updates across its ecosystem, headlined by Siri AI and the next generation of Apple Intelligence.

Siri AI is designed as a more conversational and context-aware assistant, with the ability to understand information across messages, emails and photos, recognize what is displayed on a user’s screen and perform more actions across apps. The beta is initially rolling out in English, with additional languages planned for October.

Apple is also expanding generative AI throughout its products. New capabilities include Write with Siri, AI-powered photo editing and image generation, smarter Safari tab organization and website-change alerts.

The updates are rolling out across iOS 27, iPadOS 27, macOS 27, watchOS 27, visionOS 27 and tvOS 27. However, Siri AI will initially face regional limitations, including no availability in China while Apple works through regulatory requirements.

The launch represents a major step in Apple’s effort to integrate generative AI more deeply across its hardware and software ecosystem and strengthen its position in the rapidly expanding consumer AI market.

Broadcom and Apple, and the End of Apple’s Run of Squeezing Suppliers? | Chip Stock Investor

Top Stock Market Highlights of the Week: Apple, Qualcomm, Sembcorp Industries and Mapletree Logistics Trust

We look at Apple's shift to a split iPhone launch strategy, a major AI chip partnership, and two corporate developments from Singapore-listed companies.

(thesmartinvestor.com.sg)

Apple unveils iPhone Duo - Apple

Apple today introduced iPhone Duo, the first foldable iPhone.

(apple.com)
Apple Stock in Focus as Rothschild & Co Redburn Upgrades AAPL to Buy, Sets $400 Target

Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) shares are in focus Monday after Rothschild & Co Redburn upgraded the iPhone maker to Buy from Neutral and set a $400 price target.

Analyst Timm Schulze-Melander issued the bullish rating with Apple shares at $305.61, implying approximately 31% upside to the new target.

The upgrade comes as investor attention increasingly shifts toward Apple’s ability to monetize artificial intelligence across its enormous installed device base. Apple remains uniquely positioned within the technology sector because of the combination of its premium hardware ecosystem, high-margin Services business and ability to integrate AI capabilities directly across iPhone, Mac and other devices.

A $400 target also suggests Rothschild & Co Redburn sees room for Apple’s valuation to remain elevated as the company enters its next product and AI cycle.

The rating change is particularly notable because it represents an outright upgrade rather than simply an increase in the price target. Moving from Neutral to Buy signals a materially more constructive view of Apple’s risk-reward profile.

With AAPL trading around $305.61 in the rating report, investors will now watch whether improving expectations around AI monetization, Services growth and the broader Apple ecosystem can provide enough earnings growth to justify the analyst’s $400 target.
Apple Stock Falls After Jefferies Downgrade to Underperform

Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) shares fell about 2.2% Monday after Jefferies Financial Group downgraded the iPhone maker to Underperform from Buy and sharply reduced its price target.

Jefferies analyst Edison Lee lowered the firm's price target on Apple to $263.66 from $285.56. With Apple previously trading around $306.57, the new target implies roughly 14% downside from that level.

Jefferies Turns Bearish on Apple

The downgrade represents a significant shift in Jefferies' view of Apple, moving directly from a bullish Buy recommendation to an Underperform rating rather than stepping down to Neutral.

The substantial reduction in the price target also suggests Jefferies sees Apple's current valuation as difficult to justify relative to its expectations for the company's future earnings and growth.

Monday's approximately 2.2% decline indicates investors are taking the more cautious analyst view seriously, particularly after Apple's recent share-price strength.

Why Is AAPL Stock Down Today?

The Jefferies downgrade appears to be the primary company-specific catalyst behind Monday's decline.

At approximately $306.57 before the move, Apple was trading more than $40 above Jefferies' new $263.66 target. That valuation gap provides a clear explanation for the market's negative reaction.

The downgrade also comes as investors continue to assess Apple's position in artificial intelligence and whether its AI strategy can generate sufficient new revenue and device demand to support its premium valuation.

For now, the combination of a two-notch downgrade and a substantially lower price target is putting pressure on AAPL shares, with investors likely to watch whether other Wall Street analysts become more cautious on Apple's valuation and AI-driven growth expectations.
Apple Stock Drops 7% Despite Record Q3 Results as Weak Outlook Overshadows Earnings Beat

Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) shares fell 7% in premarket trading on Friday after the company reported record fiscal third-quarter results but issued a softer-than-expected outlook for the current quarter, disappointing investors following a strong run in the stock.

Apple posted record June-quarter revenue of $109.4 billion, up 16% year over year, while diluted earnings per share climbed 29% to $2.02. The company reported record June-quarter revenue from the iPhone, Mac and Services segments, with double-digit revenue growth across every geographic region. Gross margin reached 50.1%, although results benefited from approximately two percentage points of tariff refunds, which also added $0.11 to earnings per share.

Record iPhone Sales Offset by Softer Outlook

The June quarter reflected broad-based strength across Apple's product lineup. CEO Tim Cook highlighted record revenue and an all-time high installed base of active devices, while the company also introduced its new Siri AI platform at WWDC26.

However, investors focused on Apple's outlook for the September quarter. Management projected revenue growth of 9% to 11%, below Wall Street expectations of roughly 12%, citing supply constraints for advanced chips and foreign exchange headwinds. Services revenue also fell short of analyst estimates despite growing 12%, adding to concerns about the segment's momentum.

Tariff Benefit and Supply Constraints Draw Attention

While Apple delivered another record quarter, investors also noted that earnings received a one-time boost from tariff refunds. Excluding that benefit, gross margins would have been closer to market expectations, reducing the magnitude of the earnings beat. At the same time, persistent supply chain constraints are expected to limit growth in the coming quarter despite healthy underlying demand.

What to Watch

The sharp premarket decline suggests investors are looking beyond Apple's record June-quarter performance and focusing on slower-than-expected near-term growth. Markets will closely monitor supply chain conditions, adoption of Apple's new AI features, Services revenue growth and demand for the upcoming iPhone lineup as key drivers of the stock in the months ahead.
Apple (AAPL) Stock Rises After Citigroup Raises Price Target to $365

Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) shares gained approximately 1.2% after Citigroup reiterated its Buy rating and raised its price target to $365 from $315.

The higher target comes as investors remain focused on Apple’s ability to expand its artificial intelligence capabilities, strengthen its services ecosystem, and support long-term revenue growth through new product cycles.

Citigroup’s rating action reflects a more constructive valuation outlook, while the unchanged Buy recommendation signals continued confidence in the company’s broader earnings potential.

Apple continues to benefit from its large installed device base, recurring services revenue, and strong cash generation. At the same time, investor expectations remain high around future AI integration across the iPhone, Mac, and other products.

Several factors supported the stock:

* Citigroup raised its price target to $365 from $315.
* The firm maintained its Buy rating.
* Investors remain optimistic about Apple’s AI strategy and services growth.
* The company’s ecosystem and recurring revenue base continue to support its long-term outlook.

The positive analyst update helped strengthen investor sentiment, lifting Apple shares during the session.
Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) rose 1.5% on Friday, recovering some of Thursday's losses after Morgan Stanley reiterated its Overweight rating, reaffirming confidence in the company's long-term growth outlook.

Apple shares came under pressure on Thursday after the company announced price increases for select products, as investors weighed the potential impact of higher prices on consumer demand. However, Friday's rebound suggests the market has become more optimistic that Apple's pricing power will help offset rising component costs and protect profit margins.

Morgan Stanley maintained its bullish stance, highlighting Apple's resilient ecosystem, expanding high-margin services business, and continued opportunities tied to AI-enabled devices and future hardware upgrades. The firm believes the company's strong brand loyalty positions it well to implement price increases without significantly hurting demand.

The combination of renewed analyst support and confidence in Apple's ability to preserve profitability helped lift investor sentiment, allowing the stock to recover part of the previous session's decline.
Apple Gains as Bank of America Reiterates Buy Rating

Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) rose 0.7% on Thursday after Bank of America reiterated its Buy rating on the stock and maintained a $380 price target.

The bullish stance reflects continued confidence in Apple's long-term growth prospects despite ongoing concerns about smartphone demand and increasing competition in the consumer technology market.

Investors have recently focused on Apple's expanding artificial intelligence strategy, services business, and efforts to diversify its hardware ecosystem. The company continues to benefit from one of the world's largest installed device bases, supporting recurring revenue growth through subscriptions and digital services.

Bank of America's reaffirmed Buy rating suggests the firm sees additional upside potential as Apple continues to monetize its ecosystem, expand AI capabilities across its products, and generate substantial cash flow for shareholders.

While macroeconomic uncertainty and consumer spending trends remain important factors to monitor, the analyst's positive outlook helped support shares as investors remained constructive on Apple's long-term growth story.
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Germany

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Eurozone Trade Surplus Jumps in July as Investor Sentiment Weakens

Eurozone economic data sent mixed signals on Tuesday, with the trade balance strengthening sharply while investor confidence deteriorated.

The trade surplus widened to €14.2 billion in July, well above the €3.7 billion forecast and up from €7.2 billion previously.

However, the Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Index fell to 25.8 in September from 31.4, significantly below the 39.2 expected.

Overall, stronger trade provides a positive signal for economic activity, but deteriorating expectations suggest investors remain cautious about the Eurozone outlook.
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German Current Conditions Improve Sharply, but ZEW Sentiment Misses Forecast

Germany’s economic outlook remained mixed in September, with current conditions improving significantly while investor expectations rose less than anticipated.

The ZEW Current Conditions Index jumped to -47.1 from -61.1, comfortably beating the -53.0 forecast. Meanwhile, the Economic Sentiment Index edged up to 34.7 from 34.2 but fell short of expectations for a stronger increase.
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German Inflation Accelerates to 2.9% in August as Energy Costs Rise

Germany’s inflation rate accelerated in August, with consumer prices rising 2.9% year over year, matching expectations and up from 2.8% in July. On a monthly basis, CPI increased 0.2%, also in line with forecasts, following a much stronger 0.8% increase in July. The latest figures confirm the preliminary August inflation estimate.
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German Trade Surplus Jumps to €21.3 Billion, Beating Forecasts

Germany’s trade surplus widened sharply in July, significantly exceeding market expectations as imports fell much faster than exports.

The trade surplus rose to €21.3 billion, up from €15.4 billion in June and well above the €16.0 billion forecast.

Exports declined 0.8% month over month to €138.2 billion, marking their first monthly drop in six months. Imports fell much more sharply, declining 5.7% to €116.9 billion, which drove the larger trade surplus.

While the larger-than-expected surplus is positive for Germany’s external balance, the decline in exports provides a more cautious signal for the country’s export-dependent industrial economy.
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Eurozone Economy Expands 0.6% in Q2, Beating Quarterly Forecast

The eurozone economy grew faster than expected in the second quarter, although annual growth remained weaker than economists had forecast.

GDP expanded 0.6% quarter over quarter in Q2, beating expectations for 0.4% growth and rebounding from a 0.2% contraction in the previous quarter.

On an annual basis, GDP increased 0.5%, improving from 0.3% previously but falling short of the 1.0% consensus estimate.

The figures present a mixed picture for the eurozone economy. The strong quarterly rebound suggests economic activity regained momentum in Q2, while subdued year-over-year growth indicates that the broader recovery remains relatively weak.

For the European Central Bank, the data could reduce immediate concerns about recession risks, although the softer annual growth rate leaves the economic outlook dependent on inflation, consumer demand and industrial activity.
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German Industrial Production Falls 1.1% in July, Missing Forecasts

German industrial production declined sharply in July, signaling renewed weakness in Europe’s largest economy.

Industrial output fell 1.1% month over month, significantly weaker than expectations for a 0.1% increase. Production had been unchanged in the previous month.

The unexpected contraction points to continued pressure on Germany’s industrial sector and suggests that the recovery in manufacturing remains fragile.

The data adds to concerns about Germany’s near-term growth outlook, particularly as manufacturers continue to navigate uncertain global demand, elevated costs and challenging conditions across export-oriented industries.
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German Factory Orders Rise 2.5% in July, Beating Expectations

German factory orders increased more than expected in July, providing another positive signal for Europe’s largest economy, although the headline gain was heavily influenced by large-scale transport equipment orders.

New manufacturing orders rose 2.5% month-over-month on a seasonally and calendar-adjusted basis. The result comfortably exceeded market expectations for a 0.3% increase. June’s growth was also revised higher to 3.7% from the initially reported 3.1%.
Eurozone Services Growth Holds in August as Italy Strength Offsets Weakness in France

Eurozone services activity continued to expand in August, although growth was slightly weaker than expected and performance across the region’s largest economies remained uneven.

The HCOB Eurozone Services PMI came in at 51.6, marginally below both the 51.7 consensus and the previous reading of 51.7. The Composite PMI, which combines manufacturing and services activity, stood at 52.0, matching the previous month but slightly missing expectations of 52.1. Both readings remained above the 50 threshold separating expansion from contraction.

Italy delivered the strongest upside surprise among the major economies. Its Services PMI jumped to 55.2 from 52.5, comfortably beating expectations of 53.6 and pointing to a significant acceleration in activity.

Germany also performed better than expected, with its Services PMI at 49.7 compared with the 48.5 consensus. However, the reading remained below 50 and was little changed from July’s 49.8, indicating that Germany’s services sector continued to contract, albeit only marginally.

France remained a notable weak spot. Its Services PMI fell to 48.0 from 49.6, below expectations of 48.4 and signaling a deeper contraction. Spain remained the strongest major services economy despite some moderation, with its PMI at 57.8 versus 58.3 previously, although that was below the 59.0 forecast.

Overall, the data show a Eurozone economy still expanding but with significant divergence between member states. Strong growth in Italy and Spain is helping offset contraction in France and Germany, while the broadly stable regional PMI suggests that economic momentum remains positive but modest.
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Eurozone Inflation Jumps to 3.3% in August, Strengthening ECB Rate-Hike Expectations

Eurozone inflation accelerated sharply in August, increasing pressure on the European Central Bank as higher energy prices linked to the Iran conflict continue to feed into consumer prices.

Annual inflation rose to 3.3% from 2.9% in July, matching market expectations and moving further above the ECB’s 2% target. Energy was the main driver, with energy prices surging 14.3% year over year as crude oil and natural gas costs increased.

Underlying inflation offered a more encouraging signal. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components, eased to 2.4% from 2.5%, slightly below the 2.5% forecast. Services inflation also slowed to 3.0% from 3.3%, suggesting the energy shock has not yet developed into broad-based price pressure.

Meanwhile, the eurozone unemployment rate rose to 6.4% in July, compared with expectations for 6.3%, indicating some softening in the labor market.

The inflation figures strengthen expectations that the ECB will raise interest rates at its September 10 meeting. Markets are increasingly expecting a 25-basis-point increase in the deposit rate to 2.50%, which would represent the ECB’s second rate hike this year.

The overall picture remains complicated for policymakers: headline inflation is accelerating because of the energy shock while core inflation and labor-market data are showing less pressure. This supports another near-term ECB hike but could make policymakers more cautious about committing to an extended tightening cycle.
German Manufacturing PMI Jumps to 54.3 as Industrial Recovery Accelerates

Germany’s manufacturing sector strengthened sharply in August, providing further evidence that the country’s long-struggling industrial economy is gaining momentum.

The HCOB Germany Manufacturing PMI rose to 54.3 from 52.2 in July, exceeding the preliminary estimate and market forecast of 54.1. The reading marked a 51-month high and remained comfortably above the 50 threshold separating expansion from contraction.
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NASDAQ

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U.S. Stocks Fall as 10-Year Yield Hits 5% and Oil Fuels Fed Hike Fears

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as surging Treasury yields, elevated oil prices and renewed geopolitical tensions outweighed signs of continued job creation.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.96%, while the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.58% and the S&P 500 lost 0.44%. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed above 5%, reaching its highest level since 2007 as investors prepared for Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision. Markets are pricing a roughly 90% probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike.

Economic data offered a mixed picture. Weekly ADP employment growth accelerated to 16,300 from 12,000, suggesting the labor market continues to add jobs. However, the New York Empire State Manufacturing Index dropped to 7.6 in September from 20.6, well below the 14.8 forecast.

Geopolitical risks remain another major headwind. Oil prices have stayed above $100 as renewed attacks involving Iran-aligned Houthis and Saudi Arabia increased concerns over Middle East supply disruptions. Higher energy prices are reinforcing inflation fears.

With bond yields around 5% increasing the relative attractiveness of fixed-income assets and putting pressure on equity valuations, investors are likely to remain cautious ahead of the Fed decision and its guidance on whether additional rate hikes could follow.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Oil Surge, Inflation Fears and AI Selloff Pressure Wall Street

U.S. stocks opened lower on Monday as a renewed surge in oil prices intensified inflation concerns while a selloff in artificial intelligence stocks weighed heavily on the technology sector.

The S&P 500 fell 0.49% to 7,619.13, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.23% to 52,454.22. The tech-heavy Nasdaq underperformed, dropping 0.73% to 26,140.28.

Brent crude jumped more than 4% to around $109 a barrel, adding to concerns that elevated energy costs could keep inflation higher for longer. Those worries are particularly important ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve decision, with markets pricing a high probability of another rate increase after recent inflation data.

Technology shares faced an additional headwind from a reassessment of the AI boom. AI-linked stocks came under pressure after leading industry executives called for slowing the development of increasingly powerful AI models over safety concerns. Nvidia and several semiconductor stocks fell, helping explain the Nasdaq’s sharper decline.

The combination of higher oil prices, renewed inflation risks and uncertainty over the pace of AI investment is putting pressure on equity valuations, particularly high-growth technology stocks.
U.S. Stock Futures Jump After CPI Data as Oracle Rally and Oil Pullback Lift Sentiment

U.S. stock futures moved sharply higher Friday after August inflation data came broadly in line with expectations, while a pullback in oil prices and strong Oracle earnings helped improve sentiment. S&P 500 futures rose 0.92%, Dow futures gained 0.94%, and Nasdaq futures advanced 1.06%.

Headline CPI increased 0.4% month-over-month in August, matching expectations but accelerating from 0.1% in July. Annual inflation held at 3.4%. Core CPI rose 0.3% on the month, slightly above the 0.2% forecast, while the annual core rate eased to 2.4% from 2.5%. The mixed report leaves inflation concerns alive ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve meeting, particularly after Thursday’s hotter producer-price data.

Energy markets provided some relief. Brent crude fell about 3% to around $104 a barrel after briefly approaching $110, although it remains up strongly for the week. Reports of diplomatic efforts to establish temporary shipping arrangements through the Strait of Hormuz helped cool prices. However, geopolitical risks remain elevated as the U.S.-Iran conflict and attacks on regional shipping continue to restrict oil flows.

Technology stocks were also supported by Oracle, which jumped about 6% in premarket trading after reporting a 30% increase in Q1 revenue to $19.3 billion. Cloud infrastructure revenue surged 121% to $7.4 billion, while remaining performance obligations reached $664 billion amid strong AI demand.

Despite the equity rebound, bond yields remain a key risk. The 10-year Treasury yield is hovering near 4.94%, leaving markets sensitive to inflation, oil prices and changing expectations for the Fed’s September decision.
U.S. Stocks Fall as Hot PPI, Surging Oil and Treasury Yields Pressure Markets

U.S. stocks traded lower Thursday as stronger producer inflation, surging oil prices and rising Treasury yields renewed concerns over the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate outlook. The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.82% to 26,038.95, while the S&P 500 declined 0.52% to 7,596.27 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.24% to 52,256.80.

August producer prices rose 0.4% month over month, matching expectations but accelerating from July. Annual PPI climbed 5.4%, above the 5.3% forecast and up from 4.8%. Core PPI provided some relief, increasing 0.2% month over month versus the 0.3% expected.

Oil extended its surge Thursday, with Brent crude futures jumping 3.5% to $104.75 a barrel. Supply concerns intensified after Saudi Arabia’s August production reportedly plunged 23% to about 6.2 million barrels per day, its lowest level since 1990, as regional conflict disrupted export routes (Financial Times).

Bond markets reacted sharply to the combination of inflation and energy concerns. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.922%, up roughly 8 basis points on the session. Higher yields weighed particularly heavily on technology and other growth stocks, helping explain the Nasdaq’s underperformance.

With Brent now above $104 and producer inflation accelerating, investors face the risk that the energy shock could keep inflation elevated for longer. Attention now turns to Friday’s U.S. CPI report, which could play a decisive role in expectations for next week’s Federal Reserve decision.
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U.S. Stocks Open Lower as Oil Tops $100 and Inflation Concerns Persist

U.S. stocks opened lower Wednesday, extending the previous session’s losses as sharply higher oil prices fueled concerns over inflation and the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate outlook.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.55% to 52,497.96, while the S&P 500 declined 0.32% to 7,648.70. The Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.34% to 26,331.54.

Higher oil prices were a key source of pressure. Brent crude climbed above $100 per barrel for the first time since July as escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and attacks on tankers and energy infrastructure increased concerns about prolonged Middle East supply disruptions. Brent was recently up about 2.8% at $100.66, while WTI gained roughly 3% to $95.77.

The oil rally is adding to inflation concerns ahead of key U.S. inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting next week. Higher energy costs could keep price pressures elevated and complicate the Fed’s interest-rate decision.

Meanwhile, the latest weekly ADP employment estimate showed private payrolls increasing by 12,000, up from the previous week’s 10,000 gain. The modest increase points to continued but relatively subdued hiring momentum.

With oil prices rising and bond yields remaining elevated, investors are increasingly focused on whether renewed energy-driven inflation will force the Fed to maintain a tighter monetary-policy stance.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Rising Oil Prices and Fed Rate-Hike Fears Pressure Wall Street

U.S. stocks opened lower Tuesday as surging oil prices fueled renewed inflation concerns, while investors assessed escalating tensions in the Middle East and the possibility of another Federal Reserve rate hike.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell about 1.2% in morning trading, while the S&P 500 declined 0.5% and the Nasdaq Composite lost roughly 0.5%.

Rising energy prices were a major source of pressure. Brent crude climbed toward the psychologically important $100-per-barrel level as the U.S.-Iran conflict escalated and concerns grew about further disruptions to Middle Eastern oil supplies.

Higher crude prices present a broader problem for equities because sustained increases in energy costs could feed into inflation and make it more difficult for the Fed to ease monetary policy. The concern has intensified following Friday’s stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report, which pushed expectations toward tighter monetary policy.

Treasury yields also remained elevated, adding pressure to equity valuations, particularly in rate-sensitive growth and technology stocks.

Investors are now turning their attention to this week’s U.S. inflation reports. Hotter-than-expected inflation, particularly with oil prices approaching $100, could strengthen expectations for a September Fed rate hike and add further pressure to Wall Street.
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U.S. Stocks Slip as Strong Jobs Report Revives Fed Rate-Hike Fears

U.S. stocks traded slightly lower Friday after a much stronger-than-expected August employment report revived expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates at its September meeting.

The S&P 500 fell 0.21% to 7,731.74, while the Dow Jones dropped 0.46% to 53,436.70. The Nasdaq was nearly flat at 26,583.15.

U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, nearly triple expectations of around 55,000. July's figure was also revised sharply higher to a gain of 21,000 from an initially reported decline of 23,000. Private payrolls rose by 127,000, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.1%.

Strong Labor Market Pushes Treasury Yields Higher

The unexpectedly strong report challenged hopes that the Fed could keep rates unchanged. Markets increased bets on a 25-basis-point September hike, with the implied probability rising to around 60% following the data. U.S. Treasury yields moved sharply higher in response.

The report comes just a day after Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested he could support holding rates steady if inflation continues to cool. With the labor market showing renewed strength, next week's inflation data could now prove decisive for the Fed's September decision.

The modest decline in equities suggests investors are balancing evidence of a resilient U.S. economy against the risk that stronger employment gives the Fed more room to tighten monetary policy further.
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U.S. Stocks Rise as Strong Services Activity and Lower Treasury Yields Offset Inflation Concerns

U.S. stocks traded higher Thursday as investors weighed stronger-than-expected services activity against signs of a cooling labor market and renewed inflation pressure from rising oil prices. The S&P 500 gained 0.37% to 7,694.65, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.46% to 53,304.90, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.66% to 26,391.59.

Economic data painted a mixed but generally resilient picture. Initial jobless claims increased slightly to 206,000 from 204,000, marginally above the 205,000 consensus, while continuing claims climbed to 1.779 million from 1.771 million. The figures suggest layoffs remain relatively limited even as hiring momentum has weakened ahead of Friday’s closely watched August employment report.

Services activity was considerably stronger. The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI rose to 55.4 in August from 54.1, comfortably beating expectations for an unchanged 54.1 reading. S&P Global’s Services PMI also increased to 56.5 from 54.6, although it came slightly below the 56.8 forecast. Together, the readings indicate that the dominant U.S. services sector continues to expand at a healthy pace.

The inflation component, however, complicated the outlook for the Federal Reserve. ISM services prices jumped to 72.6 from 70.3, well above the 70.0 forecast, signaling persistent input-cost pressures. Investors are already sensitive to inflation after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole message increased expectations that monetary policy may need to remain restrictive.

Oil remains another major inflation risk. Brent crude climbed to around $97 a barrel and WTI moved above $93 as renewed U.S. strikes on Iran and threats of further escalation raised concerns about supplies through the Strait of Hormuz.

Despite those risks, declining Treasury yields are currently providing support to equities, particularly technology stocks, helping the Nasdaq outperform. Markets now turn to Friday’s U.S. employment report, which could determine whether investors focus more heavily on slowing labor demand or the increasingly visible inflation pressures coming from services and energy markets.
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U.S. Stocks Trade Mixed as Weak Jobs Data Collides With Oil-Driven Inflation Fears

U.S. stocks traded mixed Wednesday as investors weighed softer-than-expected labor-market data against rising oil prices, elevated Treasury yields and renewed concerns that energy costs could keep inflation above the Federal Reserve’s target.

The S&P 500 was nearly flat at 7,638.19, up 0.09%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.39% to 52,975.28. The Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.08% to 26,079.81, with technology shares remaining more sensitive to elevated bond yields.

Fresh labor data provided some support for equities. ADP reported that private employers added only 38,000 jobs in August, below expectations for 47,000 and down from an upwardly revised 46,000 in July. It was the weakest pace of private-sector job creation since January. Manufacturing lost 17,000 jobs and professional and business services shed 16,000, while education and health services added 45,000.

Ordinarily, weaker employment growth would strengthen expectations for easier monetary policy. This time, however, the signal is being complicated by renewed inflation risks. Escalating U.S.-Iran hostilities have pushed crude prices sharply higher, with Brent trading around $95 a barrel Wednesday after surging in recent sessions. Concerns over disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz have put an additional geopolitical premium into energy markets.

Higher oil prices are feeding directly into inflation expectations and challenging hopes that slowing employment will quickly translate into lower interest rates. U.S. Treasury yields have consequently remained elevated, with the 10-year yield reaching roughly 4.8%, its highest level since late 2023. Markets have also increased expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hike following Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s recent hawkish comments on inflation.

The result is an increasingly difficult backdrop for equities: labor-market momentum is weakening at the same time that an external energy shock is threatening to revive inflation. That combination helps explain Wednesday’s divergence, with the Dow advancing while the rate-sensitive Nasdaq remains under pressure. Investors will now turn to Friday’s official U.S. employment report for a clearer indication of whether labor-market cooling is becoming significant enough to alter the Fed’s inflation-focused policy stance.
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Treasury Yields and Mixed Economic Data Pressure Tech Shares

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as a renewed selloff in government bonds pushed Treasury yields higher, while investors assessed mixed manufacturing and labor-market data ahead of Friday’s key U.S. jobs report.

The S&P 500 fell about 0.6% to 7,640, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined roughly 0.4%. The Nasdaq Composite underperformed with a drop of about 1%, reflecting greater pressure on technology and other growth stocks as borrowing costs increased.

Treasury yields remained one of the biggest headwinds for equities. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed to around 4.79%, its highest level since January 2025, as a global government-bond selloff continued. Higher yields make bonds more competitive with equities and reduce the present value of future corporate earnings, putting particular pressure on richly valued technology companies.

Tuesday’s economic data provided a mixed picture. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI was finalized at 53.9 for August, above the 53.2 preliminary estimate and signaling continued expansion. The ISM Manufacturing PMI, however, declined to 54.6 from 55.6 and missed the 55.2 forecast. ISM’s prices index remained elevated at 71.1, slightly above expectations, keeping inflation concerns in focus.

The labor market also showed signs of cooling. JOLTS job openings increased to 7.271 million in July from 7.182 million but remained below the 7.330 million forecast. ISM manufacturing employment fell to 51.2 from 52.8, while construction spending unexpectedly declined 0.5% in July.

The combination is uncomfortable for markets: economic activity remains relatively resilient, but employment indicators are softening while price pressures remain elevated. That makes the Federal Reserve’s next move more difficult, particularly after Chair Kevin Warsh’s recent hawkish Jackson Hole remarks increased expectations for another rate hike.

Geopolitical risks are adding to those inflation concerns. Brent crude traded above $92 per barrel as renewed U.S.-Iran fighting raised fears of further disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz. Higher energy prices have contributed to the global bond selloff by increasing concerns that inflation could remain above central-bank targets for longer.

Investors will now focus heavily on Friday’s August employment report. Strong jobs data could reinforce expectations that the Fed has room to raise rates, potentially keeping Treasury yields elevated and technology stocks under pressure. Weaker employment figures, however, would highlight the growing tension between slowing labor demand and persistent inflation.
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Spain

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Eurozone Trade Surplus Jumps in July as Investor Sentiment Weakens

Eurozone economic data sent mixed signals on Tuesday, with the trade balance strengthening sharply while investor confidence deteriorated.

The trade surplus widened to €14.2 billion in July, well above the €3.7 billion forecast and up from €7.2 billion previously.

However, the Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Index fell to 25.8 in September from 31.4, significantly below the 39.2 expected.

Overall, stronger trade provides a positive signal for economic activity, but deteriorating expectations suggest investors remain cautious about the Eurozone outlook.
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Spain Inflation Accelerates in August as French CPI Rises 0.7%

Inflation data from France and Spain pointed to continued price pressures across the euro area in August, with Spanish inflation showing a particularly sharp acceleration.

France’s consumer price index rose 0.7% month over month, matching expectations and up from 0.6% previously. French HICP inflation also increased 0.7%, slightly below the 0.8% forecast.

In Spain, annual CPI inflation accelerated to 4.3% from 3.6%, matching expectations. HICP inflation climbed to 4.6% from 3.9%, slightly exceeding the 4.5% forecast.

The stronger Spanish readings could reinforce concerns over persistent euro-area inflation and keep the European Central Bank cautious about the path of monetary policy.
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Eurozone Economy Expands 0.6% in Q2, Beating Quarterly Forecast

The eurozone economy grew faster than expected in the second quarter, although annual growth remained weaker than economists had forecast.

GDP expanded 0.6% quarter over quarter in Q2, beating expectations for 0.4% growth and rebounding from a 0.2% contraction in the previous quarter.

On an annual basis, GDP increased 0.5%, improving from 0.3% previously but falling short of the 1.0% consensus estimate.

The figures present a mixed picture for the eurozone economy. The strong quarterly rebound suggests economic activity regained momentum in Q2, while subdued year-over-year growth indicates that the broader recovery remains relatively weak.

For the European Central Bank, the data could reduce immediate concerns about recession risks, although the softer annual growth rate leaves the economic outlook dependent on inflation, consumer demand and industrial activity.
Eurozone Services Growth Holds in August as Italy Strength Offsets Weakness in France

Eurozone services activity continued to expand in August, although growth was slightly weaker than expected and performance across the region’s largest economies remained uneven.

The HCOB Eurozone Services PMI came in at 51.6, marginally below both the 51.7 consensus and the previous reading of 51.7. The Composite PMI, which combines manufacturing and services activity, stood at 52.0, matching the previous month but slightly missing expectations of 52.1. Both readings remained above the 50 threshold separating expansion from contraction.

Italy delivered the strongest upside surprise among the major economies. Its Services PMI jumped to 55.2 from 52.5, comfortably beating expectations of 53.6 and pointing to a significant acceleration in activity.

Germany also performed better than expected, with its Services PMI at 49.7 compared with the 48.5 consensus. However, the reading remained below 50 and was little changed from July’s 49.8, indicating that Germany’s services sector continued to contract, albeit only marginally.

France remained a notable weak spot. Its Services PMI fell to 48.0 from 49.6, below expectations of 48.4 and signaling a deeper contraction. Spain remained the strongest major services economy despite some moderation, with its PMI at 57.8 versus 58.3 previously, although that was below the 59.0 forecast.

Overall, the data show a Eurozone economy still expanding but with significant divergence between member states. Strong growth in Italy and Spain is helping offset contraction in France and Germany, while the broadly stable regional PMI suggests that economic momentum remains positive but modest.
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Eurozone Inflation Jumps to 3.3% in August, Strengthening ECB Rate-Hike Expectations

Eurozone inflation accelerated sharply in August, increasing pressure on the European Central Bank as higher energy prices linked to the Iran conflict continue to feed into consumer prices.

Annual inflation rose to 3.3% from 2.9% in July, matching market expectations and moving further above the ECB’s 2% target. Energy was the main driver, with energy prices surging 14.3% year over year as crude oil and natural gas costs increased.

Underlying inflation offered a more encouraging signal. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components, eased to 2.4% from 2.5%, slightly below the 2.5% forecast. Services inflation also slowed to 3.0% from 3.3%, suggesting the energy shock has not yet developed into broad-based price pressure.

Meanwhile, the eurozone unemployment rate rose to 6.4% in July, compared with expectations for 6.3%, indicating some softening in the labor market.

The inflation figures strengthen expectations that the ECB will raise interest rates at its September 10 meeting. Markets are increasingly expecting a 25-basis-point increase in the deposit rate to 2.50%, which would represent the ECB’s second rate hike this year.

The overall picture remains complicated for policymakers: headline inflation is accelerating because of the energy shock while core inflation and labor-market data are showing less pressure. This supports another near-term ECB hike but could make policymakers more cautious about committing to an extended tightening cycle.
Spanish Inflation Accelerates Sharply in August

Spain’s annual consumer inflation accelerated to 4.3% in August, slightly above the 4.2% market forecast and sharply higher than the previous 3.6% reading.

The EU-harmonized HICP inflation rate also climbed significantly, reaching 4.5% from 3.9% previously, although it came in just below expectations of 4.6%.

The figures point to renewed and substantial inflation pressure in Spain. With headline inflation moving well above the European Central Bank’s 2% target, the data could reinforce concerns about persistent price pressures across the euro area and make further ECB monetary easing more difficult.
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Eurozone Manufacturing Accelerates as Services Remain in Expansion

Eurozone business activity remained positive in August, with manufacturing showing a notable improvement.

The HCOB Manufacturing PMI climbed to 52.8 from 51.9, beating the 51.8 forecast and signaling a stronger expansion in factory activity.

The Services PMI held at 51.7, slightly above expectations of 51.5 and remaining comfortably above the 50 expansion threshold.

Overall, the data point to resilient Eurozone activity, with the manufacturing recovery gaining momentum while services continue to expand at a steady pace.
Eurozone Inflation Rises to 2.9% in July, Core CPI Climbs to 2.5%

Eurozone inflation accelerated in July, with both headline and core consumer price growth moving higher from the previous month, keeping inflation pressures above the European Central Bank’s 2% target.

Annual CPI inflation came in at 2.9% in July, matching market expectations but rising from 2.8% previously. Core CPI, which excludes more volatile components and is closely watched for underlying price pressures, increased to 2.5% from 2.4%, also in line with forecasts.

On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.2% after declining 0.1% in the previous month.
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Eurozone Investor Sentiment Rises More Than Expected in August

Eurozone investor confidence improved further in August, adding to signs that expectations for the region’s economic outlook are gradually strengthening.

The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index rose to 31.4 in August from 23.4 previously, comfortably beating market expectations of 25.9. A reading above zero indicates that more surveyed analysts expect economic conditions to improve rather than deteriorate over the coming six months.

The stronger Eurozone reading coincides with a notable improvement in Germany, where the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index climbed to 34.2 from 26.3 and also exceeded expectations.

The latest figures suggest financial-market participants are becoming increasingly optimistic about the European economic outlook. The European Commission’s broader sentiment indicators had already shown improvement in July, with economic sentiment strengthening in both the EU and Eurozone.

Overall, the August ZEW reading provides another positive forward-looking signal for the Eurozone economy. However, improving expectations will still need to translate into stronger underlying business activity for confidence in a sustained economic recovery to strengthen.
Eurozone Economy Expands 0.4% in Q2 as Growth Accelerates

The eurozone economy expanded by 0.4% quarter over quarter in the second quarter of 2026, matching market expectations and improving sharply from flat growth in the previous quarter.

On an annual basis, GDP increased 1.0%, also in line with expectations and accelerating from 0.5% growth in the first quarter.
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Brent Crude

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Brent Crude Surges Above $109 as Saudi Pipeline Shutdown Deepens Supply Fears

Brent crude surged more than 4% on Monday, climbing to $109.33 a barrel as escalating Middle East disruptions intensified concerns over global oil supplies.

The latest rally followed drone attacks that damaged Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline, forcing the key route to remain closed over the weekend. The pipeline has become particularly important because it allows Saudi crude to bypass the Strait of Hormuz and reach the Red Sea. Reuters reported that fresh attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure and vessels in the region have compounded supply concerns.

Risks are also increasing around the Bab el-Mandeb shipping route, while a planned meeting between Iran and Gulf states to discuss shipping through the Strait of Hormuz was postponed. The setback reduced hopes for an immediate diplomatic solution to disruptions affecting some of the world’s most important energy corridors.(Reuters)

Brent has now returned to the $109 area after briefly retreating toward $104 late last week. The renewed surge is likely to keep inflation concerns elevated ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve decision, with higher energy costs adding another complication for the interest-rate outlook.
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Brent Crude Falls 3% as Diplomatic Hopes Trigger Pullback From Near $110

Brent crude futures fell sharply on Friday, retreating 3.02% to $104.38 a barrel after briefly approaching $110 earlier in the session. The decline follows Thursday’s 6.3% surge, when Brent settled at $107.63 amid escalating attacks on shipping in the Middle East.

The pullback came as traders reacted to reports that Gulf ministers are expected to meet Iran next week in an effort to secure temporary access through the Strait of Hormuz. Any improvement in shipping conditions could ease some of the supply-risk premium that has rapidly built into crude prices. (Financial Times)

Still, supply risks remain elevated. Traffic through Hormuz continues to be constrained, while the Iran-aligned Houthis’ seizure of Yemen’s Mocha port has increased concerns over another critical shipping route near the Bab al-Mandeb Strait.

Despite Friday’s decline, Brent remains on track for a weekly gain of roughly 10% and is set to finish the week above $100 for the first time since mid-May, underscoring how strongly the prolonged Middle East conflict continues to influence global energy markets.
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Brent Crude Surges Above $105 as Middle East Supply Crisis Deepens

Brent crude oil extended its powerful rally Thursday, climbing 4.28% to $105.54 a barrel as escalating Middle East tensions and severe supply disruptions intensified concerns over global oil availability. Brent has now gained more than 10% over the past five sessions.

A sharp deterioration in Saudi Arabian supply has become a major catalyst. Saudi crude production reportedly fell to around 6.2 million barrels per day in August, down roughly 23% and reaching levels last seen in the 1990s, as regional conflict disrupted exports and shipping routes (Financial Times).

The broader supply picture is also tightening. Flows through the Strait of Hormuz remain severely constrained amid the U.S.-Iran conflict. The disruptions have increased concerns that available supply may struggle to compensate for lost Gulf barrels.

The oil rally is also spilling into global financial markets. U.S. producer inflation accelerated to 5.4% year over year in August, while the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to around 4.92% as investors assessed the risk that higher energy costs could prolong inflation and force the Federal Reserve to maintain tighter monetary policy.

With Brent now firmly above $100, markets are closely watching developments around Hormuz and Saudi production. Further supply disruptions could keep upward pressure on crude prices and reinforce inflation concerns across the global economy.
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Brent Crude Touches $100 as U.S.-Iran Conflict Escalates and Supply Risks Mount

Brent crude oil futures climbed to the $100-per-barrel threshold on Wednesday as escalating conflict involving the U.S., Iran and regional allies intensified concerns over Middle Eastern oil supplies.

Brent was trading at $99.97, up $2.05, or 2.09%, after briefly rising above $100 earlier in the session. Reuters reported an intraday high of $100.19, marking the benchmark’s first move above $100 since July 24.

The latest rally follows a sharp escalation in the U.S.-Iran conflict. U.S. forces said they destroyed five Iranian oil tankers on Tuesday, while Iran retaliated by firing ballistic missiles at a U.S.-used base in Jordan and attacking vessels attempting to cross an area of the Strait of Hormuz that Tehran has declared unsafe. (Reuters)

Supply concerns have also increased after Iran-backed Houthis attacked Saudi cities and energy facilities, causing fires and temporarily halting operations at some sites.

Shipping data underline the pressure on regional energy flows. Only six commodity vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday, compared with a 10-day average of about 12, according to preliminary Kpler data cited by Reuters.

Brent has now risen roughly 25% since early August as hopes for a lasting resolution to the conflict have faded. A sustained move above $100 would increase inflation concerns globally and could further complicate the outlook for interest rates ahead of upcoming U.S. inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s September meeting.
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Brent Nears $100 as U.S.-Iran Tensions Escalate, While Gold Falls on Rate-Hike Fears

Brent crude surged toward the psychologically important $100-per-barrel level on Tuesday as the U.S.-Iran conflict intensified, while gold moved sharply lower as rising oil prices reinforced inflation concerns and expectations for tighter Federal Reserve policy.

Brent futures climbed 2.51% to $98.70 per barrel, reaching an intraday high above $99. The rally comes as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains severely disrupted. Geopolitical tensions have continued to deteriorate. Iran has threatened retaliation for further U.S. attacks and warned that energy infrastructure across the Gulf could be targeted. Tehran is also preparing a new restricted maritime zone around the Gulf and Hormuz area. Meanwhile, Iran-backed Houthi forces attacked Saudi energy facilities on Tuesday, further expanding concerns about regional energy infrastructure. (Reuters)

Gold, however, has not benefited from the escalating geopolitical risk. December futures fell *0.83% to $4,439.50*, extending their retreat after Friday’s strong U.S. employment report.

The key connection is oil. Higher crude prices increase the risk that energy costs will reignite inflation, potentially forcing the Fed to maintain tighter monetary policy. Markets are currently pricing roughly a 60% probability of a Fed rate hike. Higher expected rates raise the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.

The U.S.-Iran conflict is therefore producing an unusual divergence: Brent is benefiting directly from fears of physical supply disruption, while gold’s traditional safe-haven support is being overwhelmed by the inflation and interest-rate implications of the oil surge. U.S. inflation data later this week will be crucial for determining whether that divergence continues.
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Brent Oil Holds Near $97 as U.S.-Iran Conflict Escalates

Brent crude oil traded higher on Monday as escalating military exchanges between the United States and Iran intensified concerns about prolonged disruptions to Middle Eastern oil supplies.

Brent was trading around $96.75 per barrel, up 0.49%. The latest escalation came over the weekend. U.S. forces struck three Iranian oil tankers on Saturday after Iran launched ballistic missiles at two U.S. Navy ships. Iran subsequently said it targeted three tankers using unauthorized routes through the Strait of Hormuz as well as additional U.S. vessels. (Reuters)

The Strait of Hormuz remains the central risk for crude prices. Tanker traffic through the waterway has fallen to its lowest level since May, while Iran said Monday that it plans to establish a new restricted shipping zone in the Gulf. (Reuters)

Supply concerns are therefore keeping a substantial geopolitical premium embedded in Brent. Further attacks on tankers or a deeper disruption to Hormuz traffic could push oil toward the psychologically important *$100-per-barrel level*, while any meaningful de-escalation between Washington and Tehran could quickly remove part of that risk premium.

Iran Says It Targeted Oil Tankers in Response to US Strikes

Iran said it targeted three oil tankers using an unauthorized route through the Strait of Hormuz, as well as a number of US-linked ships, in retaliation for American attacks on Iranian tankers over the weekend.

(finance.yahoo.com)
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Brent Crude Jumps 7.8% for the Week as U.S.-Iran Conflict Revives Supply Fears

Brent crude posted a strong weekly gain as renewed fighting between the United States and Iran brought Middle East supply risks back to the forefront.

December Brent futures finished Friday at $96.28 a barrel, up 0.8% on the session and roughly 7.8% over the five-day period. The rally accelerated early in the week after renewed U.S.-Iran strikes raised fears of further disruptions to oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.

For the coming week, *Hormuz remains the key catalyst*. Further escalation between the U.S. and Iran could push Brent toward the psychologically important $100 level, while improved tanker flows or signs of de-escalation could quickly remove part of the geopolitical premium.
U.S. Oil Rig Count Rises to 449 as Total Drilling Activity Holds Steady

The number of active U.S. oil rigs increased in the latest Baker Hughes survey, while overall drilling activity remained unchanged.

The U.S. oil rig count rose to 449 from 447 in the previous week, an increase of two rigs. Meanwhile, the total U.S. rig count held steady at 588.
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Gold and Brent Oil Edge Lower as Markets Weigh Fed Outlook and U.S.-Iran Conflict

Gold and Brent crude futures edged lower Friday, although both remain supported by shifting Federal Reserve expectations and escalating U.S.-Iran tensions.

December gold futures slipped 0.26% to $4,528 per ounce, while Brent crude fell 0.47% to $95.07 per barrel. Despite the pullback, both commodities remain on track for weekly gains.

Gold Holds Above $4,500

Gold jumped more than 2% Thursday after Fed Governor Christopher Waller indicated he would support keeping rates unchanged in September if inflation continues to cool. His comments reduced rate-hike expectations and pushed U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar lower.

The move partially reversed pressure following Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech, which had driven Treasury yields higher and weighed on bullion.

Attention now turns to Friday’s U.S. jobs report. Economists expect payrolls to rise by around 56,000 in August after falling by 23,000 in July. A weaker report could further reduce expectations for a Fed hike and support gold.

Brent Near $95 on U.S.-Iran Supply Risks

Brent remains elevated following renewed U.S. attacks on Iran and retaliatory hostilities, which have increased concerns about oil supplies through the Strait of Hormuz.

Shipping activity through the critical waterway remains heavily disrupted, while Iranian crude exports have also fallen sharply. Brent is up roughly 7.6% this week, with WTI gaining around 10.4%.

For gold, the key near-term drivers are U.S. employment data, Treasury yields and Fed expectations. For oil, attention remains firmly on the U.S.-Iran conflict and whether disruptions to Gulf exports intensify or begin to ease.
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France

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Eurozone Trade Surplus Jumps in July as Investor Sentiment Weakens

Eurozone economic data sent mixed signals on Tuesday, with the trade balance strengthening sharply while investor confidence deteriorated.

The trade surplus widened to €14.2 billion in July, well above the €3.7 billion forecast and up from €7.2 billion previously.

However, the Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Index fell to 25.8 in September from 31.4, significantly below the 39.2 expected.

Overall, stronger trade provides a positive signal for economic activity, but deteriorating expectations suggest investors remain cautious about the Eurozone outlook.
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Spain Inflation Accelerates in August as French CPI Rises 0.7%

Inflation data from France and Spain pointed to continued price pressures across the euro area in August, with Spanish inflation showing a particularly sharp acceleration.

France’s consumer price index rose 0.7% month over month, matching expectations and up from 0.6% previously. French HICP inflation also increased 0.7%, slightly below the 0.8% forecast.

In Spain, annual CPI inflation accelerated to 4.3% from 3.6%, matching expectations. HICP inflation climbed to 4.6% from 3.9%, slightly exceeding the 4.5% forecast.

The stronger Spanish readings could reinforce concerns over persistent euro-area inflation and keep the European Central Bank cautious about the path of monetary policy.
French 12-Month Bill Yield Rises to 2.94% at Latest Auction

France’s short-term borrowing costs increased at its latest government debt auction, with the yield on 12-month BTF Treasury bills rising to 2.940%.

The yield increased from 2.860% at the previous auction, a rise of 8 basis points
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Eurozone Economy Expands 0.6% in Q2, Beating Quarterly Forecast

The eurozone economy grew faster than expected in the second quarter, although annual growth remained weaker than economists had forecast.

GDP expanded 0.6% quarter over quarter in Q2, beating expectations for 0.4% growth and rebounding from a 0.2% contraction in the previous quarter.

On an annual basis, GDP increased 0.5%, improving from 0.3% previously but falling short of the 1.0% consensus estimate.

The figures present a mixed picture for the eurozone economy. The strong quarterly rebound suggests economic activity regained momentum in Q2, while subdued year-over-year growth indicates that the broader recovery remains relatively weak.

For the European Central Bank, the data could reduce immediate concerns about recession risks, although the softer annual growth rate leaves the economic outlook dependent on inflation, consumer demand and industrial activity.
Eurozone Services Growth Holds in August as Italy Strength Offsets Weakness in France

Eurozone services activity continued to expand in August, although growth was slightly weaker than expected and performance across the region’s largest economies remained uneven.

The HCOB Eurozone Services PMI came in at 51.6, marginally below both the 51.7 consensus and the previous reading of 51.7. The Composite PMI, which combines manufacturing and services activity, stood at 52.0, matching the previous month but slightly missing expectations of 52.1. Both readings remained above the 50 threshold separating expansion from contraction.

Italy delivered the strongest upside surprise among the major economies. Its Services PMI jumped to 55.2 from 52.5, comfortably beating expectations of 53.6 and pointing to a significant acceleration in activity.

Germany also performed better than expected, with its Services PMI at 49.7 compared with the 48.5 consensus. However, the reading remained below 50 and was little changed from July’s 49.8, indicating that Germany’s services sector continued to contract, albeit only marginally.

France remained a notable weak spot. Its Services PMI fell to 48.0 from 49.6, below expectations of 48.4 and signaling a deeper contraction. Spain remained the strongest major services economy despite some moderation, with its PMI at 57.8 versus 58.3 previously, although that was below the 59.0 forecast.

Overall, the data show a Eurozone economy still expanding but with significant divergence between member states. Strong growth in Italy and Spain is helping offset contraction in France and Germany, while the broadly stable regional PMI suggests that economic momentum remains positive but modest.
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Eurozone Inflation Jumps to 3.3% in August, Strengthening ECB Rate-Hike Expectations

Eurozone inflation accelerated sharply in August, increasing pressure on the European Central Bank as higher energy prices linked to the Iran conflict continue to feed into consumer prices.

Annual inflation rose to 3.3% from 2.9% in July, matching market expectations and moving further above the ECB’s 2% target. Energy was the main driver, with energy prices surging 14.3% year over year as crude oil and natural gas costs increased.

Underlying inflation offered a more encouraging signal. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components, eased to 2.4% from 2.5%, slightly below the 2.5% forecast. Services inflation also slowed to 3.0% from 3.3%, suggesting the energy shock has not yet developed into broad-based price pressure.

Meanwhile, the eurozone unemployment rate rose to 6.4% in July, compared with expectations for 6.3%, indicating some softening in the labor market.

The inflation figures strengthen expectations that the ECB will raise interest rates at its September 10 meeting. Markets are increasingly expecting a 25-basis-point increase in the deposit rate to 2.50%, which would represent the ECB’s second rate hike this year.

The overall picture remains complicated for policymakers: headline inflation is accelerating because of the energy shock while core inflation and labor-market data are showing less pressure. This supports another near-term ECB hike but could make policymakers more cautious about committing to an extended tightening cycle.
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French Economy Stagnates in Q2 as Inflation Edges Higher

France’s economy showed weaker-than-expected growth in the second quarter of 2026, with GDP unchanged on a quarterly basis. The 0.0% reading missed expectations for 0.2% growth and followed a 0.2% contraction in the previous quarter.

On an annual basis, GDP grew 0.5%, below the 0.7% forecast and slowing from 0.9% previously. The figures point to continued weakness in France’s economic activity.

Meanwhile, French consumer prices rose 0.7% month over month in August, matching expectations and slightly accelerating from the previous 0.6% increase.

Overall, the combination of stagnant growth and continued price pressures presents a challenging backdrop, reinforcing concerns about weak economic momentum while limiting the scope for more aggressive monetary easing.
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France Jobseekers Rise in July, Signaling Softer Labor Market

The number of registered jobseekers in France increased to 3.143 million in July, up from 3.122 million in the previous period.

That represents an increase of roughly 21,500 jobseekers, or 0.7%, pointing to some weakening in French labor-market conditions.

The rise is a mildly negative signal for the French economy, suggesting employment conditions remain under pressure as businesses face subdued domestic demand and broader economic uncertainty.
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Eurozone Manufacturing Accelerates as Services Remain in Expansion

Eurozone business activity remained positive in August, with manufacturing showing a notable improvement.

The HCOB Manufacturing PMI climbed to 52.8 from 51.9, beating the 51.8 forecast and signaling a stronger expansion in factory activity.

The Services PMI held at 51.7, slightly above expectations of 51.5 and remaining comfortably above the 50 expansion threshold.

Overall, the data point to resilient Eurozone activity, with the manufacturing recovery gaining momentum while services continue to expand at a steady pace.
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France Manufacturing Rebounds in August While Services Contract Further

France’s private-sector data sent mixed signals in August, with manufacturing improving while services weakened.

The HCOB Manufacturing PMI rose to 51.5 from 49.8, comfortably beating the 50.1 forecast and moving above the 50 threshold that separates expansion from contraction.

In contrast, the Services PMI fell to 48.4 from 49.6, missing expectations of 49.4 and signaling a deeper contraction in France’s much larger services sector.

Overall, the strong manufacturing rebound is encouraging, but continued services weakness suggests France’s broader economic recovery remains fragile.
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