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UK Economy Returns to Growth in May as GDP Beats Expectations

The UK economy returned to growth in May, offering fresh signs of resilience after contracting in the previous month.

Monthly GDP rose 0.1% in May, beating economists’ expectations for no growth and reversing April’s 0.1% decline. The better-than-expected reading suggests economic activity stabilized despite ongoing pressure from elevated borrowing costs and a challenging global backdrop.

The broader trend also remained constructive. The three-month-on-three-month GDP measure increased 0.7%, above the consensus forecast of 0.5%, although slightly below the previous 0.8% reading. The data indicates the UK economy continues to expand on an underlying basis despite month-to-month volatility.

The stronger-than-expected figures may ease concerns about the pace of economic growth and could influence expectations for the Bank of England’s monetary policy. While inflation has moderated in recent months, policymakers are expected to continue balancing the need to support growth against the risk of persistent price pressures.

Investors will now turn their attention to upcoming UK inflation, labor market, and retail sales data for further clues on the health of the economy and the timing of future Bank of England interest rate decisions.
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WS News 07-16-26
UK Retail Sales Growth Slows to 1.7% in June, Missing Expectations

UK retail sales growth slowed sharply in June, pointing to softer consumer spending as households remained cautious amid ongoing economic uncertainty.

The British Retail Consortium (BRC) Retail Sales Monitor showed retail sales increased 1.7% year over year in June, below the 2.6% market expectation and slowing from 3.4% growth recorded in May.
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Global Finance News 07-14-26
UK Construction Sector Remains Under Pressure Despite Slight Improvement in June

The UK’s construction sector remained deep in contraction in June, as business activity continued to decline despite a modest improvement from the previous month.

The S&P Global UK Construction PMI rose to 38.4 in June from 38.2 in May but missed economists’ expectations of 40.1.
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WS News 07-06-26
UK Services Sector Remains in Contraction Despite Slight Improvement in June

The UK services sector remained in contraction territory in June, although business activity came in slightly better than expected, suggesting the pace of the slowdown may be easing.

The S&P Global UK Services PMI rose to 48.8 in June, slightly above economists’ expectations of 48.7 but below May’s reading of 49.3.
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WS News 07-03-26
UK Manufacturing Growth Slows More Than Expected in June

The UK's S&P Global Manufacturing PMI fell to 52.5 in June, below market expectations of 53.1 and down from 53.9 in May.

Although the reading remained above the 50-point threshold, indicating continued expansion, the decline suggests manufacturing momentum slowed at the end of the second quarter.
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The Investor 07-01-26
UK House Prices Rise Less Than Expected in June

UK house prices were unchanged in June, falling short of market expectations and signaling a slowdown in the housing market.

The Nationwide House Price Index was flat on a monthly basis, compared with economists' expectations for a 0.1% increase. The reading marked an improvement from May's 0.6% decline but suggested housing market momentum remains subdued.

On an annual basis, house prices rose 2.2% in June, below the consensus forecast of 2.4% but up from 1.7% in the previous month.
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The Investor 07-01-26
UK Economy Maintains Solid Growth in First Quarter

The U.K. economy expanded 0.6% quarter over quarter in the first quarter, matching market expectations and accelerating from 0.1% growth in the previous quarter.

On an annual basis, GDP increased 0.9% in the first quarter, matching the previous reading but falling short of economists' expectations for 1.1%.
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WS Investor 06-30-26
The UK's June PMI data pointed to a mixed economic picture, with manufacturing remaining in expansion territory while the services sector unexpectedly contracted.

The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI came in at 53.1, slightly below expectations of 53.5 and down from 53.9 in May. Despite the modest decline, the reading remains comfortably above the 50 threshold, indicating that factory activity continues to expand and that the manufacturing sector remains one of the brighter spots in the UK economy.

In contrast, the S&P Global Services PMI fell to 48.7 from 49.3 in May, missing forecasts of 50.1 and slipping further into contraction territory. The weaker reading suggests softer demand for services and growing caution among businesses and consumers.
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The Investor 06-23-26
UK Retail Sales Growth Accelerates Sharply in May

UK retail sales rose 3.2% year-over-year in May, significantly exceeding economists' expectations of 1.9% and accelerating sharply from April's 0.1% increase.
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The Investor 06-19-26
Bank of England Holds Interest Rates Steady at 3.75%

The Bank of England left its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.75% in its June policy meeting, matching market expectations and maintaining the same rate as the previous decision.
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Global Finance News 06-18-26
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