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US Stock Futures Fall as Strong Economic Data and Higher Treasury Yields Pressure Markets

U.S. stock futures moved lower Thursday after stronger-than-expected manufacturing and labor-market data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may have less room to ease monetary policy, while Treasury yields moved higher.

Dow futures fell 0.56%, Nasdaq 100 futures declined 0.48%, and S&P 500 futures were down 0.23%.

Strong Economic Data Pushes Yields Higher

The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index surged to 47.4 in August, far above the 24.1 forecast and up from 41.4 previously, signaling strong manufacturing activity.

Initial jobless claims also came in stronger than expected, falling to 206,000 from 212,000 versus the 210,000 forecast. Continuing claims increased to 1.799 million, slightly above expectations of 1.790 million.

Following the data, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield climbed to around 4.702%, up roughly 5.2 basis points on the day.

The combination of stronger manufacturing activity and low layoffs reduces the immediate case for easier Federal Reserve policy, putting upward pressure on bond yields and weighing on equities.

Technology and other rate-sensitive stocks are particularly exposed to rising yields, contributing to the decline in Nasdaq futures. Markets will now assess whether the latest economic strength leads investors to further scale back expectations for future Fed rate cuts.

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European Investor 08-20-26

US Stocks Rise as Treasury Bond-Market Support Eases Yield Pressure

U.S. stocks were mostly higher Wednesday as the Treasury Department’s expanded bond-buyback operations continued to support sentiment by easing pressure in the government debt market.

The S&P 500 was up 0.37% at 7,719.85, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.46% to 53,588.62. The Nasdaq Composite, however, slipped 0.05% to 26,277.81, giving back its earlier gains as technology stocks lagged the broader market.

Treasury Intervention Brings Relief to Bonds and Stocks

The main catalyst supporting risk sentiment was Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s move to bolster liquidity in the Treasury market. The department said it would at least double the maximum size of liquidity-support buybacks for longer-dated Treasury securities, increasing operations from $2 billion to at least $4 billion and targeting the 10- to 30-year portion of the curve.

Bond yields dropped sharply following the announcement. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell about 6 basis points to around 4.65%, while the 30-year yield declined roughly 9 basis points to around 5.20%. Treasury prices and yields move inversely.

The action has provided some relief after the recent surge in long-term borrowing costs became a major headwind for equities. The 30-year Treasury yield had climbed to around 5.34% on Tuesday, its highest level in nearly two decades, amid concerns over government borrowing, inflation, the U.S.-Iran conflict and elevated energy prices.

Dow Leads While Nasdaq Loses Momentum

The latest market action shows a divergence beneath the headline indexes. The Dow is now outperforming with a 0.46% gain, while the S&P 500 remains moderately higher. The Nasdaq has reversed its earlier advance and is trading slightly lower.

The reversal suggests that lower Treasury yields have not been enough to sustain the initial rebound in technology stocks. Growth and technology shares remain particularly sensitive to changes in long-term rates because higher yields reduce the present value of expected future earnings.

For the broader market, however, Treasury intervention has eased one of Wall Street’s most immediate concerns and helped stabilize financial conditions.

Investors will continue to monitor the Treasury market, oil prices and developments surrounding the U.S.-Iran conflict. The Federal Reserve’s July meeting minutes are also in focus for additional clues about the outlook for monetary policy, inflation and interest rates.

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Global Finance News 08-19-26

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Estimate for Q3 Slips to 4.0%

The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow model lowered its estimate for U.S. economic growth in the third quarter of 2026 to 4.0%, down from the previous estimate of 4.3%.

Despite the downward revision, the estimate continues to point to a strong pace of U.S. economic expansion. A 4.0% annualized growth rate would indicate that economic activity remains resilient heading deeper into the second half of the year.

The slight downgrade from 4.3% suggests incoming economic data have modestly softened the model’s assessment of Q3 growth rather than signaling a major deterioration in the economic outlook.

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European Investor 08-18-26

U.S. Stocks Fall as Iran Conflict, Rising Oil Prices and Treasury Yields Pressure Markets

U.S. stocks traded lower Tuesday as the continuing U.S.-Iran conflict pushed oil prices higher and intensified concerns about inflation and interest rates, with technology stocks leading the decline.

The Nasdaq Composite fell 1.3% to 26,301, underperforming the broader market. The S&P 500 declined 0.49% to 7,707, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.06% at 53,429.

The risk-off move comes as hopes for a lasting resolution to the U.S.-Iran conflict fade. Iran has shifted toward a more offensive military posture after efforts to negotiate a permanent end to the conflict stalled, while Washington declined to extend the temporary ceasefire.

Oil and Bond Yields Add Pressure

Energy markets remain one of the main channels through which the conflict is affecting U.S. equities. Brent crude rose for a third consecutive session Tuesday, trading around $91 per barrel and reaching its highest level in nearly three weeks as continued restrictions around the Strait of Hormuz raised concerns about global oil supplies.

Higher oil prices are feeding concerns that energy costs could keep inflation elevated, complicating the outlook for monetary policy.

Those concerns have spilled into the bond market. The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield climbed as high as 5.327%, its highest level since 2007, while the benchmark 10-year yield was also around 4.73%. The rise in long-term yields reflects a combination of inflation concerns related to the conflict and oil prices, alongside broader worries about U.S. borrowing and debt issuance.

The combination of higher energy prices and rising bond yields is particularly challenging for growth and technology stocks, helping explain the Nasdaq's sharper decline.

Latest U.S. Data Point to Softer Economic Momentum

Tuesday's economic releases added another layer of uncertainty.

U.S. housing starts dropped 12.4% month-over-month in July to an annualized 1.239 million units, well below expectations of 1.340 million and down sharply from 1.415 million previously.

Industrial production increased just 0.2% month-over-month in July, below the 0.3% forecast and previous reading. On a year-over-year basis, production growth slowed to 1.08% from 1.29%.

The labor market offered a somewhat stronger signal. Weekly ADP employment growth came in at 9,500 jobs, up from 8,300 previously.

Taken together, the data point to uneven economic momentum: employment continues to expand, but housing activity weakened sharply and industrial production grew more slowly than expected.

For Wall Street, however, geopolitics remains the dominant driver Tuesday. As long as the U.S.-Iran conflict keeps Brent crude elevated and pushes longer-term Treasury yields higher, pressure on equity valuations — particularly in the technology sector — is likely to remain a central market risk.

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The Investor 08-18-26

U.S. Stocks Mixed as Strong Empire State Manufacturing Data Complicates Fed Outlook

U.S. stocks traded mixed Monday as investors weighed unexpectedly strong manufacturing data against continued strength in technology and AI-related shares.

The S&P 500 was down 0.14% at 7,774.51, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.34% to 53,548.44. The technology-heavy Nasdaq bucked the trend, rising 0.13% to 26,764.38.

The New York Fed’s Empire State Manufacturing Index climbed to 20.6 in August from 15.6 in July, substantially exceeding the 10.6 market forecast and reaching its highest level in more than four years. New orders and shipments also recorded solid gains, pointing to stronger manufacturing activity in New York State.

The stronger report offered a positive signal for U.S. economic growth but also complicated the interest-rate outlook. Input-price pressures increased in the survey, potentially reinforcing concerns that the Federal Reserve may need to remain cautious about declaring inflation fully contained.

Technology stocks were providing support to the Nasdaq, with renewed strength in AI and semiconductor names helping the index outperform the broader market. Investors are also looking ahead to Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting minutes for additional clues on the policy outlook.

For Wall Street, the combination of resilient economic activity and easing inflation remains broadly constructive, but stronger growth and renewed price pressures could limit expectations for a more accommodative Fed.

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European Investor 08-17-26

Inflation is increasingly in focus for the US bond market and the Fed, says Mike Mitchell, head of US Treasury and Inflation Trading at Goldman Sachs.

(goldmansachs.com)

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European Investor 08-15-26

U.S. Stocks Slip as Weak Retail Sales and Consumer Sentiment Raise Growth Concerns

U.S. stocks are trading modestly lower Friday after a weaker-than-expected batch of economic data raised fresh concerns about consumer demand and the near-term growth outlook.

The S&P 500 is down 0.07% at 7,793.67, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average is 0.18% lower at 53,741.48. The Nasdaq Composite is down 0.19% at 26,751.53.

Retail Sales Weaken in July

The main pressure comes from July retail sales. Headline retail sales fell 0.6% month over month, considerably weaker than the 0.1% increase expected by economists and reversing the previous month's 0.2% gain.

Core retail sales also disappointed, declining 0.3% compared with expectations for a 0.2% increase. The previous reading was a 0.2% decline.

The figures point to softer consumer spending momentum entering the second half of the year. Because household consumption remains a major driver of the U.S. economy, the downside surprise is reinforcing concerns that economic growth could lose some momentum.

Consumer Sentiment Falls as Inflation Expectations Rise

The University of Michigan's preliminary consumer sentiment index for August dropped to 51.0 from 55.2, well below the 54.7 consensus estimate.

Consumer expectations weakened as well, falling to 50.6 from 55.4 and missing expectations of 55.2.

At the same time, one-year inflation expectations increased to 4.3% from 4.2%. The combination of weaker confidence and slightly higher inflation expectations presents a less favorable macro backdrop: consumers are becoming more cautious while inflation concerns remain elevated.

Why Are U.S. Stocks Down?

Friday's data create a mixed signal for monetary policy. Weak retail spending and deteriorating consumer confidence strengthen the case for easier Federal Reserve policy, but the increase in short-term inflation expectations could complicate that outlook.

The relatively small declines across the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq suggest investors are not treating the data as evidence of a severe downturn. Instead, the market reaction reflects renewed caution over whether softer consumer demand could begin weighing more materially on corporate earnings and U.S. economic growth during the second half of 2026.

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Global Finance News 08-14-26

U.S. Stocks Rally as Softer PPI Supports Rate-Cut Hopes

U.S. stocks moved sharply higher Thursday as investors welcomed softer-than-expected producer inflation data, while labor-market figures offered a mixed but still relatively stable picture.

The Nasdaq led gains, rising 0.97% to 26,845.93, while the S&P 500 advanced 0.84% to 7,813.91. The Dow Jones gained 0.50% to 54,041.72.

The main catalyst was July's Producer Price Index. Headline PPI was unchanged month over month, below the 0.2% increase expected and following a 0.1% decline previously. Core PPI increased 0.2%, also below the 0.3% forecast and slowing from 0.4%.

The softer producer-price figures reinforced expectations that inflationary pressures in the production pipeline remain contained, potentially giving the Federal Reserve greater flexibility to lower interest rates.

Labor data were somewhat less supportive. Initial jobless claims rose to 209,000, above the 202,000 expected and 200,000 previously. However, continuing claims declined to 1.777 million, better than the 1.800 million forecast.

The combination of cooling producer inflation without clear evidence of severe labor-market deterioration created a favorable backdrop for equities. Technology stocks responded particularly strongly, helping the Nasdaq outperform as lower inflation expectations improved the outlook for interest-rate-sensitive growth valuations.

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The Investor 08-13-26

Nasdaq Leads US Stocks Higher After Inflation Data Matches Expectations

U.S. stocks traded mostly higher Wednesday after July inflation data came in exactly in line with expectations, with technology shares outperforming as the report avoided an upside inflation surprise that could have renewed concerns over Federal Reserve policy.

The Nasdaq was the strongest major index, rising 0.48% to 26,573.43. The S&P 500 gained 0.19% to 7,742.85, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average lagged, slipping 0.03% to 53,776.39.

CPI Data Supports Technology Stocks

Headline U.S. CPI increased 0.1% month-over-month in July, matching expectations, while annual inflation eased to 3.4% from 3.5%.

Core CPI also matched forecasts, rising 0.2% monthly while the annual rate slowed to 2.5% from 2.6%.

The absence of an upside inflation surprise was particularly supportive for technology and other growth stocks. Cooling annual inflation reduces the risk that the Federal Reserve will need to return to a more aggressive monetary-policy stance, an environment generally favorable for higher-duration growth valuations.

However, because all four major CPI readings matched consensus estimates, the report did not provide a major dovish surprise. That helps explain the relatively moderate gain in the broader S&P 500 and the nearly flat Dow.

Nasdaq Outperforms Broader Market

The divergence among the major indexes points to stronger investor appetite for technology and growth stocks rather than a broad-based post-CPI rally.

The Nasdaq's 0.48% advance substantially outpaced the S&P 500's 0.19% gain, while the Dow remained slightly negative. AI and semiconductor shares continue to provide additional support to the technology-heavy index, alongside the favorable inflation reaction.

For Wall Street, the July CPI report largely preserves the existing macroeconomic narrative: inflation is gradually cooling, but remains above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. With the report producing no significant surprise, investors are likely to shift their attention toward upcoming economic releases and their implications for interest rates.

For now, the combination of easing annual inflation and no upside CPI shock is providing a modestly positive backdrop for U.S. equities, with technology stocks and the Nasdaq emerging as the clearest beneficiaries.

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WS Investor 08-12-26

U.S. Existing Home Sales Fall 1.7% in July as High Mortgage Rates Weigh on Housing

U.S. existing home sales declined 1.7% month over month in July 2026 to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.06 million units, down from 4.13 million in June. The headline level was roughly in line with market expectations of around 4.05 million.

According to the National Association of Realtors, sales were nevertheless 0.7% higher than a year earlier, marking a fourth consecutive annual increase. Housing inventory fell 1.9% from June to 1.54 million units, equivalent to 4.6 months of supply. The median existing-home price increased 2.0% year over year to $434,100.

According to Reuters, elevated borrowing costs remain a major constraint on the housing market, with the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate recently reaching 6.69%, its highest level since July 2025. Higher rates are discouraging potential buyers while also limiting supply as homeowners with lower-rate mortgages remain reluctant to sell.

Overall, the July report points to continued weakness in housing activity rather than a sharp deterioration. Sales remain subdued near the 4 million annualized level, with a more meaningful recovery likely dependent on lower mortgage rates and improved affordability.

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The Investor 08-11-26

08-20-26WS Investor

08-20-26WS News

NYSE:WMT

Walmart Stock Falls 9% Premarket Despite Revenue Growth as Earnings Disappoint

Walmart (NASDAQ: WMT) shares fell about 9% Thursday despite reporting solid second-quarter revenue growth and strong e-commerce performance, as investors focused on earnings that fell short of market expectations and continued tariff-related uncertainty.

Revenue Grows 5.9%, E-Commerce Jumps 23%

Second-quarter revenue increased 5.9% to $187.9 billion, or 5.1% in constant currency.

Global e-commerce sales jumped 23%, supported by store-fulfilled pickup and delivery and marketplace growth. Walmart's global advertising business increased 38%, while membership fee revenue grew 17%.

Operating income rose 28.8%, or 17.4% on an adjusted constant-currency basis, helped partly by tariff refunds. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.81.

Earnings and Tariff Concerns Pressure WMT

Despite strong top-line growth, the market reaction suggests investors were disappointed with profitability relative to expectations. Walmart's adjusted EPS of $0.81 was below Wall Street expectations, overshadowing the strong revenue performance.

Tariffs also remain an important issue. Walmart said operating income benefited from tariff refunds during the quarter, partially offset by price investments. The company plans to prioritize remaining tariff refunds toward further price investments, potentially limiting the benefit to future earnings.

Walmart reiterated its fiscal 2027 outlook and issued third-quarter guidance, but the combination of an earnings miss, elevated inventory and continued tariff-related margin uncertainty appears to be driving WMT's 9% decline.

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European Investor 08-20-26

Walmart Completes Vibe*co Acquisition to Expand Connected TV Advertising Business

Walmart announced it has completed its acquisition of Vibe*co, a self-service connected TV (CTV) advertising platform, strengthening Walmart Connect's commerce media business and expanding its presence in streaming television advertising.

The acquisition combines Vibe*co's self-service advertising platform with Walmart Connect's retail media capabilities, enabling advertisers to plan, purchase and measure streaming TV campaigns more easily. Walmart said the deal will make connected TV advertising more accessible for businesses of all sizes while helping brands better connect advertising campaigns with measurable shopping outcomes.

Vibe*co, founded in 2021, has developed a platform used by more than 10,000 advertisers to launch streaming TV campaigns across premium publishers through simplified campaign management, flexible budgets and AI-powered optimization.

Walmart said the acquisition will enhance Walmart Connect's ability to deliver closed-loop advertising solutions by integrating first-party customer insights with streaming, digital and in-store advertising channels. The company expects the transaction to create new opportunities for suppliers, marketplace sellers and brands to reach customers throughout the shopping journey while improving campaign measurement and effectiveness.

The acquisition reflects Walmart's continued investment in its rapidly growing advertising business as retailers increasingly expand beyond traditional retail operations into high-margin retail media and digital advertising services.

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European Investor 08-04-26

Walmart Gains 1% as Investors Favor Defensive Stocks Despite Analyst Downgrade

Walmart shares rose 1% on Friday, outperforming the broader market as investors sought safety in defensive sectors during a sharp selloff that pushed major technology indexes significantly lower.

The gain came even as Erste Group Bank downgraded the stock from Buy to Hold. While downgrades often pressure shares, the market appeared more focused on Walmart's defensive characteristics and resilient business model amid growing economic uncertainty.

As concerns about higher-for-longer interest rates weighed heavily on technology and growth stocks, investors rotated into companies with stable earnings, strong cash flow, and consistent consumer demand. Walmart is widely viewed as one of the largest beneficiaries of this type of market environment due to its dominant position in grocery retailing and its ability to attract consumers across income levels.

The retailer has also strengthened its competitive position through investments in e-commerce, delivery services, advertising, and membership offerings. These higher-margin businesses have helped diversify revenue streams and improve profitability beyond traditional retail operations.

Friday's positive performance suggests investors remain confident in Walmart's ability to navigate a potentially slower economic environment. Historically, the company has performed relatively well during periods of economic uncertainty as consumers increasingly prioritize value and essential purchases.

The divergence between the analyst downgrade and the stock's gain highlights the current market dynamic. While some analysts may see more limited upside after Walmart's strong performance over recent years, investors continue to view the company as a high-quality defensive holding capable of delivering steady growth and earnings stability even as broader market volatility increases.

With interest-rate expectations remaining elevated and economic uncertainty persisting, Walmart's combination of scale, pricing power, and essential consumer exposure continues to make it an attractive destination for investors seeking stability in an increasingly turbulent market environment.

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The Investor 06-06-26

Walmart Falls 7% Despite Solid Quarter as Guidance Disappoints Investors

Walmart dropped 7% after the world's largest retailer reported a broadly solid first quarter but issued second quarter guidance and reiterated full-year commentary that left investors wanting more, particularly against the backdrop of a macro environment where consumer staples companies are expected to demonstrate resilience.

Revenue for Q1 came in at $177.8 billion, up 7.3% year over year or 5.9% in constant currency — a healthy topline for a company of Walmart's scale. Global eCommerce sales grew 26%, led by store-fulfilled pickup and delivery and marketplace, continuing the digital transformation that has been central to Walmart's investment thesis. The global advertising business surged 37%, with Walmart US advertising up 36%, and membership fee revenue grew 17.4% globally — both high-margin revenue streams that point to the structural evolution of the business beyond traditional retail. Gross profit rate improved 6 basis points, led by Walmart US. Operating income grew 5.0%, or 5.1% on an adjusted constant currency basis. GAAP EPS was $0.67 and adjusted EPS was $0.66.

On the surface these are respectable numbers. The issue for investors lies in what comes next. The company reiterated its full-year fiscal 2027 outlook rather than raising it, and the Q2 guidance it issued apparently failed to clear the bar a market had set following strong results from TJX and other retailers this week. Inventory was up 8.9%, partly reflecting timing of receipts and strong grocery demand, but elevated inventory levels require monitoring in a demand environment that remains uncertain.

The 7% decline is steep for a company that delivered mid-single digit operating income growth and accelerating digital revenue. It reflects a market that had priced in a guidance raise following weeks of positive retail sentiment, and found instead a company that is performing well but choosing to hold its cards rather than signal acceleration. In the current environment, where every retailer faces tariff cost pressures and consumer spending uncertainty, a reiterated rather than raised outlook was read as a cautious message regardless of the underlying momentum.

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European Investor 05-21-26

Walmart reported continued growth momentum, with revenue increasing 5.1% in constant currency to $715.9 billion and profit rising 5.4% on an adjusted basis. The company’s global eCommerce sales surged 24% to $150.4 billion, supported by strong performance across marketplace, advertising, and membership segments.

Operating cash flow reached $41.6 billion, while Walmart returned $15.6 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. The company also highlighted rapid expansion in advertising revenue and ongoing investments in technology, including AI-driven tools to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency.

Management emphasized that the integration of physical stores and digital platforms, along with supply chain innovation, continues to strengthen Walmart’s business model and support future growth.

Source: Walmart

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Global Finance News 04-24-26

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Global Finance News 04-24-26

Walmart announced a major redesign of its flagship private label brand, Great Value, marking its first full refresh in over a decade.

The update introduces a modern visual identity aimed at improving product visibility and ease of shopping across both stores and digital platforms, while maintaining the same product quality and pricing. The redesign will cover nearly 10,000 items, making it the largest private brand update in the company’s history.

Walmart said the rollout will be phased over the next two years, starting with select product categories. The initiative is part of the retailer’s broader strategy to enhance customer experience and adapt to evolving consumer preferences, while continuing to emphasize affordability and consistency.

The company noted that Great Value products are present in most U.S. households and play a key role in delivering cost savings compared to national brands.

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WS Investor 04-16-26

Walmart Inc. has launched a new business unit, Upstream Facility Services, expanding its in-house maintenance capabilities to serve external companies across the United States.

The new offering leverages Walmart’s extensive operational scale and expertise developed across its network of stores and Sam’s Club locations. Upstream will provide services including HVAC, refrigeration, electrical, plumbing, and general maintenance, targeting businesses with multi-location operations where uptime and efficiency are critical.

The service model combines urgent repairs, preventive maintenance, and predictive solutions, supported by a nationwide network of technicians positioned close to customer sites. Clients will also benefit from real-time visibility into service performance, enabling improved planning and faster decision-making.

With this move, Walmart aims to commercialize one of the largest in-house facility service operations in the country, helping businesses reduce downtime, extend asset life, and improve operational consistency.

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WS Investor 04-14-26

Walmart Launches ‘The Devil Wears Prada’ Inspired Fashion Collection

Walmart has unveiled a limited-time “The Devil Wears Prada Scoop Collection,” bringing high-fashion inspiration to its affordable private-label lineup.

The collection, part of Walmart’s exclusive Scoop brand, draws on the iconic style of *The Devil Wears Prada* and features tailored blazers, structured dresses, denim sets, and statement accessories designed to reflect New York-inspired fashion trends.

Priced between $16 and $54, the range aims to deliver trend-forward styles at accessible price points. Pre-orders began on April 9 via Walmart*com, with a full launch scheduled for April 20 across online channels and select U.S. stores.

The release highlights Walmart’s ongoing strategy to expand its fashion offerings and appeal to style-conscious consumers seeking value-driven apparel.

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WS Investor 04-09-26

Walmart and VIZIO announced new integrations to expand their content-to-commerce ecosystem, combining streaming, advertising, and retail data to deliver measurable outcomes for brands.

The partnership will introduce a unified account system allowing users to log into VIZIO smart TVs using Walmart credentials, enabling seamless linkage between viewing behavior and purchasing activity.

The companies also unveiled new branded content initiatives and advertising capabilities, including product placement integrations and closed-loop measurement tools, aiming to strengthen the connection between entertainment and retail commerce.

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WS Investor 03-23-26

08-20-26WS Investor

08-20-26WS News

08-19-26Global Finance News

COINBASE:BTCUSD

Bitcoin Surges 8% Above $77,000 as Treasury Bond Buybacks and Crypto Policy Optimism Fuel Rally

Bitcoin extended its powerful rebound on Friday, jumping 8.2% to around $77,757 and briefly approaching $80,000. The cryptocurrency has now gained roughly 24% this week, putting it on course for its strongest weekly performance since March 2023.

The latest advance is closely linked to the U.S. Treasury's decision to substantially increase buybacks of longer-dated government bonds. Treasury plans to at least double liquidity-support buybacks of 10- to 30-year securities to $4 billion per operation. Markets have interpreted the move as an attempt to relieve pressure on long-term yields and improve liquidity in the Treasury market.

While the program is not Federal Reserve quantitative easing, it has nevertheless encouraged a "debasement trade." The dollar has weakened as investors question whether attempts to suppress long-term borrowing costs could shift some of the pressure from the bond market into the currency. That environment has simultaneously supported assets such as Bitcoin and gold.

Crypto-specific developments are providing another tailwind. Investors have become more optimistic about U.S. digital-asset regulation following renewed political momentum around the Clarity Act and broader efforts to establish clearer rules for cryptocurrency markets.

The rally is also broad rather than limited to Bitcoin. Ethereum, Solana and XRP have advanced strongly alongside Bitcoin, while crypto-related equities have benefited from the renewed risk appetite.

Bitcoin's move above $77,000 therefore reflects several catalysts working simultaneously: Treasury bond-market intervention, dollar weakness, expectations for improved financial liquidity and regulatory optimism. The combination has transformed what began as a rebound earlier this week into one of Bitcoin's strongest rallies in several years.

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Global Finance News 08-21-26

Trump expected to attend White House meeting with crypto CEOs, sources say

Those involved in a meeting of CEOs from the worlds of crypto, prediction markets and AI anticipate President Donald Trump will take part in next week's gathering.

(coindesk.com)

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European Investor 08-15-26

Live updates: Bitcoin holds $62,600 as the Iran conflict reignites and CPI looms

Trump reinstated the Hormuz blockade, sending oil higher and rate-hike bets up, reversing the peace trade that helped bitcoin recover in early July. Today's inflation print is the next test.

(coindesk.com)

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Global Finance News 07-14-26

Bitcoin (BTC) Falls 1.2% as Cautious Sentiment Keeps Price Below $60,000

Bitcoin (BTC) traded lower on Tuesday, extending its recent weakness as investors remained cautious despite improving sentiment across global equity markets.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $59,273.83, down 1.2% over the past 24 hours after failing to reclaim the key $60,000 level.

# Bitcoin Remains Under Pressure

The world's largest cryptocurrency briefly approached $60,000 but failed to sustain momentum, with sellers pushing prices lower as traders continued to assess the outlook for monetary policy and institutional demand.

Unlike U.S. equities, which benefited from easing geopolitical tensions following the U.S.-Iran ceasefire, Bitcoin did not participate in the broader risk-on move and has remained under pressure in recent weeks.

# Macro Headwinds Continue to Weigh

Analysts point to several factors limiting Bitcoin's recovery, including uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's interest-rate outlook, persistent outflows from crypto investment products, and weaker overall demand for digital assets. Recent reports have also highlighted concerns over potential additional Bitcoin supply entering the market from large holders.

# What Investors Are Watching

Market participants continue to monitor:

* Federal Reserve policy expectations.
* Institutional demand for Bitcoin.
* ETF flows and broader crypto market sentiment.
* Key technical support around the $58,000–$60,000 range.

While long-term adoption trends remain intact, Bitcoin has struggled to regain upward momentum in 2026. Until macroeconomic conditions improve or institutional buying strengthens, the cryptocurrency is likely to remain sensitive to interest-rate expectations and shifts in investor risk appetite.

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WS Investor 06-30-26

Bitcoin Holds Above $60,000 as Buyers Return After Sharp Selloff

Bitcoin (BTC) traded around *$60,360* on Saturday, gaining nearly 2% over the past 24 hours as the cryptocurrency rebounded from this week's sharp decline. The recovery comes after Bitcoin briefly slipped below the psychologically important $60,000 level, with buyers stepping in as market sentiment stabilized.

Why is Bitcoin rising?

The latest bounce appears to be driven by bargain hunting following several days of heavy selling that pushed Bitcoin to its lowest levels in months. The price chart shows buyers gradually regaining control, with BTC climbing steadily throughout the past 24 hours and holding above the $60,000 threshold.

While concerns over inflation and the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook continue to weigh on risk assets, Bitcoin has shown signs of stabilization after the recent wave of liquidations across the crypto market.

What investors should watch

Although the latest rebound has improved short-term sentiment, Bitcoin remains below the highs seen earlier this week, suggesting volatility could persist. Investors will likely monitor macroeconomic developments, institutional fund flows, and whether BTC can establish support above $60,000 before attempting another move higher.

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The Investor 06-27-26

Bitcoin fell about 2.5% on Friday, extending its recent decline as investors reacted to persistent U.S. inflation and renewed uncertainty surrounding U.S. cryptocurrency regulation.

Sentiment weakened after the CLARITY Act, a landmark bill aimed at establishing a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, faced another delay in the U.S. Senate. The setback disappointed investors who had expected the legislation to provide greater regulatory certainty and support broader institutional participation in the crypto market.

Pressure also came from the latest U.S. inflation data. The Core PCE Price Index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, remained at 3.4% year-over-year in May, well above the Fed's 2% target, while headline PCE accelerated to 4.1% from 3.8% in April. The figures reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated for longer, reducing the appeal of risk-sensitive assets such as cryptocurrencies.

Despite the pullback investors will continue to monitor progress on U.S. crypto legislation alongside upcoming economic data and Federal Reserve commentary, which are expected to remain the key drivers of digital asset sentiment.

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WS Investor 06-26-26

Bitcoin Extends Rally Above $66,500 as Risk Appetite Returns to Crypto Markets

Bitcoin climbed above $66,500 on Tuesday, gaining roughly 1.4% over the past 24 hours and more than 4.5% over the last five days, as investors continued to add exposure to digital assets amid improving market sentiment.

The world's largest cryptocurrency has recovered steadily from last week's weakness, benefiting from a broader rebound in risk assets and growing confidence that institutional demand remains strong. Bitcoin briefly pushed above $67,000 during the recent rally before consolidating near current levels.

The cryptocurrency's resilience comes despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and volatility across commodity markets. While oil prices have retreated as concerns about a broader Middle East conflict eased, Bitcoin has continued to attract buyers, suggesting investors are increasingly viewing the asset as a long-term growth opportunity rather than solely a speculative trade.

Institutional adoption remains a key pillar supporting the market. Spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to provide traditional investors with easier access to the cryptocurrency, while corporate and institutional interest in digital assets has remained elevated. Expectations that monetary policy could become more accommodative over the coming quarters have also supported demand for higher-risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

Technical momentum has improved as Bitcoin reclaimed the $66,000 level and approached recent highs near $67,000. Market participants are now watching whether the cryptocurrency can establish a sustained move above that resistance zone, which could open the door for a retest of higher levels reached earlier this year.

Despite the recent gains, traders remain attentive to macroeconomic developments, central bank decisions, and geopolitical headlines that could influence risk appetite. For now, however, Bitcoin's steady advance suggests investor sentiment toward the cryptocurrency market remains constructive as the second half of 2026 begins.

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WS Investor 06-16-26

Bitcoin Holds Steady Near $62,500 as Investors Await Fresh Catalysts

Bitcoin traded near $62,600 (Thursday, 06.11.2026) showing little movement as investors weighed the latest U.S. economic data and broader market conditions. The world's largest cryptocurrency was down just 0.01%, reflecting a period of consolidation after recent volatility across financial markets.

The muted price action came as traders digested mixed signals from the U.S. economy. Initial jobless claims rose above expectations, pointing to some softening in the labor market, while producer prices increased more than forecast, highlighting persistent inflation pressures. The combination has created uncertainty about the timing and pace of future Federal Reserve interest-rate decisions.

Bitcoin has increasingly traded alongside risk assets in recent years, making macroeconomic developments a key driver of sentiment. Expectations for lower interest rates generally support cryptocurrencies by improving liquidity conditions and increasing investor appetite for higher-risk assets.

Despite the lack of a strong directional move, Bitcoin remains closely watched by investors as institutional adoption continues to grow and digital assets become more integrated into mainstream financial markets. Market participants are now looking for fresh economic data, central bank signals, and developments in the cryptocurrency sector to determine the next major move.

For now, Bitcoin appears to be holding its ground, with traders waiting for a clearer catalyst before committing to a stronger bullish or bearish view.

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European Investor 06-11-26

**Bitcoin Surges Nearly 3% as Investors Embrace Risk Following Softer Core Inflation Data**

Bitcoin climbed nearly 3% on Wednesday, rising to around $62,760 and reaching its highest level of the session as investors responded positively to the latest US inflation data and renewed appetite for risk assets.

The world's largest cryptocurrency gained momentum after the May Consumer Price Index report showed underlying inflation pressures easing more than expected. While headline inflation remained elevated at 4.2% year-over-year, Core CPI rose just 0.2% during the month, below economists' forecasts. The softer core reading strengthened hopes that the Federal Reserve may eventually gain room to ease monetary policy, a development that is generally supportive for cryptocurrencies and other risk-sensitive assets.

Bitcoin's rally also came despite weakness in US equity markets, where major indexes traded lower as investors weighed the broader inflation outlook and rising energy prices. The divergence suggests that cryptocurrency traders are focusing more on the prospect of future monetary easing than on short-term stock market volatility.

With inflation showing tentative signs of moderation and expectations for future interest-rate cuts remaining intact, the macroeconomic environment remains broadly supportive for digital assets. However, investors should also expect continued volatility as markets react to upcoming economic data and Federal Reserve commentary.

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European Investor 06-10-26

Bitcoin Slides 14% in Five Days as Capital Shifts Toward New Tech Opportunities and Higher Rates

Bitcoin has fallen roughly 14% over the past five days, extending a difficult period for the cryptocurrency market as investors navigate rising interest rates, shifting liquidity conditions and growing competition for capital from the technology sector.

The decline comes after stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data reinforced expectations that interest rates could remain elevated for longer. Higher Treasury yields and a stronger U.S. dollar have reduced the appeal of speculative assets, including cryptocurrencies, as investors seek safer alternatives with increasingly attractive yields.

At the same time, capital markets have been increasingly focused on a new wave of technology fundraising activity and anticipated initial public offerings. Investor attention has shifted toward artificial intelligence, space technology, robotics and advanced semiconductor companies, sectors that have attracted enormous amounts of capital over the past year. Market speculation surrounding potential blockbuster listings, including a possible future SpaceX IPO and other high-profile private technology companies, has contributed to a rotation of risk capital away from cryptocurrencies and toward equity opportunities that many investors view as offering more tangible growth prospects.

The technology sector has also become the primary destination for global investment flows as governments, corporations and institutional investors pour hundreds of billions of dollars into AI infrastructure, data centers and next-generation computing platforms. As a result, cryptocurrencies are increasingly competing with rapidly growing technology companies for the same pool of speculative and growth-oriented capital.

Another factor weighing on Bitcoin has been broader risk aversion across financial markets. Recent volatility in U.S. equities, uncertainty surrounding global growth, and concerns about inflation have encouraged investors to reduce exposure to higher-risk assets.

While the recent selloff has been severe, many analysts note that Bitcoin remains one of the most volatile major asset classes. In the near term, market direction will likely depend on Federal Reserve policy expectations, liquidity conditions and whether investors continue to favor technology and AI-related investments over digital assets. For now, the flow of capital appears to be moving toward traditional equity markets and emerging technology opportunities, creating additional pressure on cryptocurrency prices.

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The Investor 06-06-26

08-20-26WS Investor

08-20-26WS News

08-19-26WS Investor

S&P 500

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European Investor 08-20-26

Health Care and Consumer Stocks Lead U.S. Market as Technology Lags

U.S. equities remained broadly higher Wednesday afternoon, but sector performance showed a sharp divergence, with health care surging while technology and industrial stocks remained under pressure.

The S&P 500 was up about 0.32% as of 2:38 p.m. ET, supported by strong gains in health care, consumer discretionary, consumer staples and materials.

Moderna Cancer Vaccine Breakthrough Fuels Health Care Rally

Health care was by far the strongest S&P 500 sector, jumping 3.59%, with a major catalyst coming from Moderna and Merck’s positive late-stage cancer-treatment results.

Moderna shares more than doubled after the companies reported that the personalized mRNA cancer therapy intismeran, when combined with Merck’s Keytruda, reduced the risk of melanoma recurrence and spread compared with Keytruda alone. Merck shares also jumped about 10%, while the news sparked a broader biotechnology rally. The Nasdaq Biotechnology Index climbed more than 4%, with BioNTech and other mRNA-related stocks also advancing sharply.

The results are particularly significant because they provide late-stage evidence that Moderna’s mRNA technology could have substantial applications beyond infectious-disease vaccines, improving sentiment toward the broader biotechnology industry.

Consumer discretionary was the second-strongest S&P 500 sector, rising 1.93%, followed by consumer staples at 1.46% and materials at 1.29%. Communication services gained 0.65%, while real estate advanced 0.52%.

Treasury Support Helps Broader Market

The broader improvement in sentiment also follows the Treasury Department’s move to expand liquidity-support buybacks for longer-dated government securities. The action helped ease some of the recent pressure on Treasury yields, providing support to rate-sensitive areas of the equity market.

Real estate’s 0.52% advance is consistent with the easing in long-term yield pressure, as lower borrowing costs tend to improve the relative outlook for the sector.

Technology Remains Under Pressure

Despite the broader market advance, technology continued to lag. The S&P 500 Information Technology sector fell 0.65%, helping explain why the Nasdaq was struggling to participate in the broader rally.

Industrials were the weakest sector, declining 0.71%. Financials fell 0.28% and energy slipped 0.16%, while utilities edged 0.11% higher.

Wednesday’s sector performance therefore points to a significant rotation beneath the headline indexes. Rather than technology leading the market, the S&P 500’s advance is being driven primarily by health care — amplified by the Moderna-Merck cancer breakthrough — alongside strength in consumer and materials stocks.

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WS News 08-19-26

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Global Finance News 08-19-26

S&P 500 Falls as Technology and Industrials Lead Sector Selloff

U.S. stocks remained under pressure Tuesday afternoon, with the S&P 500 down 0.58% as weakness in technology and industrial shares outweighed strong gains across defensive and energy sectors.

Information Technology was the weakest S&P 500 sector, falling 1.93%, making it a major drag on the broader index given its heavy weighting. Industrials followed with a 1.30% decline, while Communication Services fell 0.59% and Materials lost 0.58%.

Investors Rotate Toward Defensive Sectors

The selloff was far from uniform. Health Care led the market with a 1.75% gain, followed by Energy at +1.61% and Consumer Staples at +1.29%. Financials also advanced 0.63%.

The divergence points to a defensive rotation as investors reduce exposure to growth-sensitive areas while favoring sectors typically considered more resilient during periods of uncertainty.

Energy’s strength also comes amid elevated oil prices as the continuing U.S.-Iran conflict keeps geopolitical risk and concerns about energy supplies in focus.

With technology falling nearly 2% while Health Care, Energy and Consumer Staples post sizable gains, Tuesday’s sector performance suggests risk appetite remains fragile even as parts of the market continue to outperform.

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WS News 08-18-26

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The Investor 08-18-26

S&P 500 Slips as Energy Leads While Consumer and Communication Stocks Weigh

U.S. stocks traded lower Monday afternoon, with weakness across consumer-related and communication services shares outweighing gains in energy and selected technology stocks.

The S&P 500 fell 0.31% to 7,761.71 as of around 1:21 p.m. ET, with seven of the index’s 11 major sectors trading in negative territory.

Energy was the strongest sector, rising 0.75%, as renewed U.S.-Iran tensions and uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz supported crude oil prices and energy shares. Industrials followed with a 0.42% gain, while health care added 0.09%.

Information technology was narrowly positive, up 0.06%, but the headline number masked substantial strength among semiconductor and memory stocks. Sandisk, Micron and Marvell were among the notable gainers as enthusiasm around AI infrastructure and memory demand continued to support chipmakers.

Consumer and Communication Stocks Lead Declines

Communication services was the session’s weakest S&P 500 sector, falling 1.54%. Consumer staples dropped 1.37%, while consumer discretionary declined 1.27%. Real estate, utilities, materials and financials also traded lower.

The weakness comes as investors remain cautious about the U.S. consumer following Friday’s disappointing retail-sales data, while markets await earnings from major retailers including Walmart, Target and Home Depot for additional evidence on household spending conditions.

Interest rates are also back in focus. The 10-year Treasury yield moved toward 4.70% after the New York Fed’s Empire State Manufacturing Index climbed to 20.6 in August, well above expectations of 10.6. The stronger economic reading adds another layer of uncertainty to the Federal Reserve outlook.

Monday’s sector performance shows a distinctly defensive and selective market rather than a broad selloff. Energy and AI-related semiconductor strength are providing support, but weakness across consumer-oriented sectors and communication services is keeping the S&P 500 in negative territory.

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WS Investor 08-17-26

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European Investor 08-17-26

The Best Five Sectors This Week #78

Julius de Kempenaer presents his weekly update on US sector rotation using Relative Rotation Graphs.

(articles.stockcharts.com)

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European Investor 08-15-26

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Global Finance News 08-14-26

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The Investor 08-13-26

08-21-26Global Finance News

08-20-26WS Investor

08-19-26WS News

NYSE:DE

Deere Stock Rises 3.8% as Strong Q3 Results and Improved Outlook Signal Ag Cycle Bottom

Deere & Company (NYSE: DE) shares rose about 3.8% Thursday after the agricultural and construction equipment maker reported stronger-than-expected fiscal third-quarter results and improved its full-year profit outlook.

Earnings Rise as Construction Business Surges

Third-quarter net income increased 7% year over year to $1.379 billion, while diluted EPS rose to $5.10 from $4.75. Worldwide net sales and revenues increased 5% to $12.61 billion.

Performance was particularly strong in Construction & Forestry, where sales jumped 18% to $3.62 billion and operating profit surged 84% to $436 million. Small Agriculture & Turf sales increased 12%, with operating profit rising 28%.

Large agricultural equipment remained weaker, with Production & Precision Agriculture sales declining 6% and operating profit falling 9%.

Deere Raises Outlook and Sees Ag Cycle Bottom

A key catalyst for the stock appears to be Deere's improved outlook. The company now expects fiscal 2026 net income of $4.75 billion to $5.00 billion.

Management also reiterated its view that 2026 will mark the bottom of the current agricultural equipment cycle, citing early order trends, improving used-equipment inventories and increasing adoption of advanced technologies.

The combination of stronger quarterly earnings, robust construction and small-agriculture performance, and greater confidence that the agricultural equipment downturn is nearing a bottom provides a likely explanation for DE's 3.8% gain.

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European Investor 08-20-26

Deere Falls 7.4% as Large Agriculture Slump Overshadows Construction Strength

Deere and Company dropped 7.4% despite reporting overall revenue growth of 5% and maintaining its full-year net income guidance, as investors focused on the deepening pain in its largest and most profitable segment — Production and Precision Agriculture — where sales and margins deteriorated sharply.

Total net sales and revenues for the second quarter reached $13.369 billion, up 5% year over year, with net income coming in at $1.773 billion, or $6.55 per diluted share, essentially flat with last year's $1.804 billion and $6.64 per share. Results included a $272 million recovery related to refunded IEEPA tariff claims following the February 2026 Supreme Court ruling invalidating those tariffs, which partially cushioned the underlying earnings pressure.

The segment picture told two very different stories. Production and Precision Agriculture — the heart of Deere's large farm equipment business — saw net sales fall 14% to $4.503 billion and operating profit collapse 39% to $706 million, with operating margin contracting from 22.0% to 15.7%. The company's own industry outlook calls for US and Canada large agriculture down 15% to 20% for the full year, and South America tractors and combines down approximately 15%, reflecting the ongoing downturn in the global farm equipment cycle driven by lower commodity prices and reduced farmer income.

The offsetting strength came from Small Agriculture and Turf, up 16% to $3.485 billion with operating profit up 25% and margin expanding to 20.6%, and particularly from Construction and Forestry, which surged 29% to $3.790 billion with operating profit up 48% and margin improving to 14.8% from 12.9%. Infrastructure spending and construction activity are clearly filling the gap left by weak large ag demand.

For the full fiscal year, Deere maintained its net income guidance of $4.5 billion to $5.0 billion — a range that acknowledges significant uncertainty but signals management's confidence that the portfolio's diversification can hold the line.

The 7.4% drop reflects a market that looked past the headline revenue growth and construction strength, focusing instead on the severity of the large agriculture deterioration and questioning how long the construction cycle can offset the farm equipment downturn that has become the dominant story for the company's near-term earnings trajectory.

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European Investor 05-21-26

Deere & Company Announces Voting Results from 2025 Annual Shareholders Meeting

Deere & Company held its annual shareholders meeting on February 26, 2025, where key proposals were voted on.

**Election of Directors**
All nominees were elected for terms expiring at the 2026 annual meeting. Among the directors, R. Preston Feight received the highest number of votes in favor with 203.8 million shares, while John C. May and Gregory R. Page received the highest number of votes against, with 12.4 million and 13.1 million shares, respectively.

**Advisory Vote on Executive Compensation**
Shareholders approved the executive compensation package, with 182.4 million votes in favor, 21.9 million against, and 802,234 abstentions.

**Ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as Independent Auditor**
The selection of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the company’s independent registered public accounting firm for fiscal year 2025 was ratified with 222.8 million votes in favor, 13.3 million against, and 624,431 abstentions.

**Shareholder Proposals**
- A proposal requesting a report on racial and gender hiring statistics was rejected, with 2.8 million votes in favor and 200.2 million against.
- A proposal seeking a corporate financial sustainability report was not approved, with 2.0 million votes in favor and 201.0 million against.
- A proposal for a civil rights audit was rejected, receiving 59.8 million votes in favor and 142.8 million against.
- A proposal requesting a report on charitable giving was also voted down, with 2.5 million votes in favor and 200.5 million against.
- A shareholder proposal regarding efforts to create a meritocratic workplace was withdrawn before the vote.

The results reflect the company’s strong shareholder support for existing governance and financial practices while rejecting proposed changes in reporting on social and sustainability initiatives.

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The Investor 02-28-25

08-20-26WS Investor

08-20-26WS News

05-21-26European Investor

Germany

Eurozone Manufacturing Accelerates as Services Remain in Expansion

Eurozone business activity remained positive in August, with manufacturing showing a notable improvement.

The HCOB Manufacturing PMI climbed to 52.8 from 51.9, beating the 51.8 forecast and signaling a stronger expansion in factory activity.

The Services PMI held at 51.7, slightly above expectations of 51.5 and remaining comfortably above the 50 expansion threshold.

Overall, the data point to resilient Eurozone activity, with the manufacturing recovery gaining momentum while services continue to expand at a steady pace.

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Global Finance News 08-21-26

German Manufacturing Strengthens in August, but Services Slip Into Contraction

Germany’s August PMI data showed a sharp divergence between manufacturing and services.

The HCOB Manufacturing PMI jumped to 54.1 from 52.2, well above the 52.1 forecast and signaling a stronger expansion in factory activity.

Services moved in the opposite direction. The Services PMI fell to 48.5 from 49.8, missing expectations of 50.1 and remaining below the 50 threshold separating expansion from contraction.

Overall, the strong manufacturing reading is encouraging for Germany’s industrial recovery, but renewed weakness in services suggests economic momentum remains uneven.

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Global Finance News 08-21-26

German Producer Prices Jump 1.1% in July, Beating Expectations

German producer prices rose sharply in July, signaling renewed price pressures at the factory level and coming in well above market expectations.

Germany’s Producer Price Index (PPI) increased 1.1% month over month in July, compared with expectations for a 0.5% increase. The reading also marked a significant reversal from the 0.3% decline recorded in the previous month.

German PPI Beats Forecast

The latest figures showed:

* German PPI MoM: +1.1%
* Market forecast: +0.5%
* Previous: -0.3%

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The Investor 08-20-26

Eurozone Inflation Rises to 2.9% in July, Core CPI Climbs to 2.5%

Eurozone inflation accelerated in July, with both headline and core consumer price growth moving higher from the previous month, keeping inflation pressures above the European Central Bank’s 2% target.

Annual CPI inflation came in at 2.9% in July, matching market expectations but rising from 2.8% previously. Core CPI, which excludes more volatile components and is closely watched for underlying price pressures, increased to 2.5% from 2.4%, also in line with forecasts.

On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.2% after declining 0.1% in the previous month.

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WS News 08-19-26

Eurozone Investor Sentiment Rises More Than Expected in August

Eurozone investor confidence improved further in August, adding to signs that expectations for the region’s economic outlook are gradually strengthening.

The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index rose to 31.4 in August from 23.4 previously, comfortably beating market expectations of 25.9. A reading above zero indicates that more surveyed analysts expect economic conditions to improve rather than deteriorate over the coming six months.

The stronger Eurozone reading coincides with a notable improvement in Germany, where the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index climbed to 34.2 from 26.3 and also exceeded expectations.

The latest figures suggest financial-market participants are becoming increasingly optimistic about the European economic outlook. The European Commission’s broader sentiment indicators had already shown improvement in July, with economic sentiment strengthening in both the EU and Eurozone.

Overall, the August ZEW reading provides another positive forward-looking signal for the Eurozone economy. However, improving expectations will still need to translate into stronger underlying business activity for confidence in a sustained economic recovery to strengthen.

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Global Finance News 08-18-26

German Investor Sentiment Beats Expectations as Economic Outlook Improves in August

German investor confidence strengthened more than expected in August, offering a more encouraging signal for Europe’s largest economy even as assessments of current conditions remained deeply negative.

The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index climbed to 34.2 in August from 26.3 previously, beating market expectations of 30.1. The improvement suggests financial-market experts have become more optimistic about Germany’s economic prospects over the coming months.

The Current Conditions Index also improved substantially, rising to -61.1 from -77.6 and coming in well above the -68.8 forecast. Despite the improvement, the deeply negative reading indicates that Germany’s present economic environment remains weak.

The divergence between current conditions and expectations suggests investors are anticipating a recovery before it becomes clearly visible in underlying economic activity.

Overall, the August ZEW report provides a positive forward-looking signal for the German economy. Both indicators exceeded expectations, but the large gap between improving sentiment and still-poor current conditions suggests that expectations for recovery have yet to translate into a broad improvement in economic activity.

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Global Finance News 08-18-26

Eurozone Economy Expands 0.4% in Q2 as Growth Accelerates

The eurozone economy expanded by 0.4% quarter over quarter in the second quarter of 2026, matching market expectations and improving sharply from flat growth in the previous quarter.

On an annual basis, GDP increased 1.0%, also in line with expectations and accelerating from 0.5% growth in the first quarter.

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Global Finance News 08-14-26

Germany’s annual inflation rate accelerated to 2.8% in July, up sharply from 2.3% in June and matching the preliminary estimate. Consumer prices increased 0.8% month-over-month, also in line with expectations, reversing June’s 0.3% decline.

The acceleration was driven largely by energy prices, which rose 8.3% year-over-year in July compared with 3.4% in June. Core inflation, excluding food and energy, stood at 2.4%, indicating that the latest increase in headline inflation was particularly influenced by renewed energy-price pressures.

The figures reinforce concerns that the recent surge in oil and other energy costs linked to Middle East tensions could complicate the inflation outlook for Germany and the broader eurozone. The European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged at its July meeting while retaining the option of further tightening as higher energy prices create renewed inflation risks.

With German inflation moving further above the ECB’s 2% target, the July data could strengthen the case for maintaining a restrictive monetary-policy stance, particularly if elevated energy prices persist in the coming months.

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European Investor 08-12-26

German Trade Surplus Narrows in June Despite Resilient Industrial Output

Germany’s trade surplus narrowed more than expected in June as a sharp rebound in imports offset solid export growth, while industrial production managed a modest monthly expansion.

According to data released Friday, Germany recorded a trade balance of **€15.4 billion** in June, falling short of the market consensus estimate of **€17.2 billion** and down from a revised **€19.4 billion** in May.

In a separate release, German **industrial production rose 0.2% month-on-month** in June, matching economic forecasts. While slower than May's revised 0.7% gain, the expansion was bolstered by steady output in the automotive sector. On an annual basis, industrial production registered a slight decline of 0.1%.

Economists note that while net exports and manufacturing show signs of short-term cyclical resilience, broader structural headwinds—including elevated energy costs, geopolitical supply disruption risks, and soft global demand—continue to cap Germany's medium-term growth potential.

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WS Investor 08-07-26

German Factory Orders Surge in June, Beating Expectations

Germany's factory orders rose much more than expected in June, signaling a stronger recovery in manufacturing demand.

German Factory Orders (MoM, Jun)

Actual: 3.1%
Forecast: 0.5%
Previous: 0.3%

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European Investor 08-06-26

01-27-26European Investor

11-21-25WS News

07-25-25WS Investor

07-21-25WS News

06-10-25The Investor

US Bonds

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Global Finance News 08-19-26

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The Investor 08-18-26

Inflation is increasingly in focus for the US bond market and the Fed, says Mike Mitchell, head of US Treasury and Inflation Trading at Goldman Sachs.

(goldmansachs.com)

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European Investor 08-15-26

U.S. 6-Month Treasury Bill Yield Falls to 3.830%

The U.S. Treasury's latest six-month bill auction produced a yield of 3.830%, down slightly from 3.855% at the previous auction.

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WS Investor 08-10-26

U.S. Treasury Auction Yields Rise Ahead of Fed Decision as Investors Demand Higher Returns

U.S. Treasury yields moved higher on Monday after the Treasury’s latest debt auctions cleared at higher yields than the previous sales, reflecting investor caution ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve meeting and a busy slate of economic data.

The U.S. Treasury’s $69 billion 2-year note auction stopped at a high yield of 4.315%, up from 4.189% at the previous auction. Later in the day, the $70 billion 5-year note auction also cleared at a higher yield of 4.408%, compared with 4.200% previously.

The higher stop-out yields suggest investors demanded greater compensation to hold U.S. government debt, a sign that bond markets remain cautious about the outlook for interest rates and inflation. Treasury auctions are closely watched because they provide insight into investor demand for government securities and can influence borrowing costs across financial markets.

The auctions came just hours after softer-than-expected U.S. durable goods orders data, which pointed to moderating business investment but did little to change expectations that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at this week’s policy meeting.

Higher Treasury yields can weigh on equity valuations, particularly in growth sectors such as technology, by increasing discount rates used to value future earnings.

With the Federal Reserve’s policy announcement, key inflation data, and earnings from several mega-cap technology companies all due later this week, investors are likely to remain focused on the bond market for further signals about the direction of monetary policy and the broader U.S. economy.

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WS News 07-28-26

The U.S. Treasury's latest 10-year note auction attracted solid investor demand, with the high yield settling at 4.538%, modestly above the previous auction's 4.468% level.

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WS Investor 06-10-26

The US 2-Year Treasury note auction cleared at 4.071%, significantly above the previous 3.812%.

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WS Investor 05-26-26

The U.S. 10-year TIPS auction drew a yield of 2.169%, up from the previous 1.896%, indicating investors demanded higher real returns to hold inflation-protected government debt.

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European Investor 05-21-26

U.S. 30-year bond auction yield rose to 5.050%, up from the previous 4.876%.

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The Investor 05-13-26

The U.S. 10-year Treasury note auction came in weaker than the previous auction, due to today's inflation data.

High yield: 4.468%

Previous: 4.282%

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WS Investor 05-12-26

08-20-26WS Investor

08-20-26The Investor

08-19-26WS News

COINBASE:XRPUSD

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Global Finance News 08-21-26

Powell Just Lit the Fuse on Altcoin Season - Fat Tail Daily

Rate cuts aren’t just good for tech stocks. Lower rates mean more investors will also take a chance on higher-risk cryptos. Here’s the opportunity that’s just getting started…

(daily.fattail.com.au)

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WS Investor 09-27-25

Fidelity crypto half year report link:
https://www.fidelity.com/learning-center/trading-investing/crypto-midyear-outlook-2025?ccsource=em_Promo_1119565_18_0_22171_201

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WS News 06-06-25

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WS News 06-06-25

XRP, SOL, ADA's Coinbase Premium Surges to One-Month High After Trump's Crypto Reserve News

Tokens traded at a notable premium on Coinbase relative to Binance after Trump announced plans for establishing strategic crypto reserve.

(finance.yahoo.com)

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WS News 03-03-25

ripple

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WS Investor 01-15-25

08-20-26WS Investor

08-20-26WS News

08-18-26Global Finance News

08-17-26WS News

08-16-26WS News

NYSE:TGT

Target Stock Jumps 5.2% as Sales Momentum Strengthens and 2026 Outlook Rises

Target (NYSE: TGT) shares climbed about 5.2% on Wednesday after the retailer reported strong second-quarter 2026 results, including accelerating comparable sales, robust digital growth and a significant improvement in earnings. The company also raised its full-year sales and earnings outlook.

While tariff refunds provided a substantial boost to reported profits, Target’s underlying results were also strong, with earnings growing even when that benefit is excluded.

Comparable Sales Rise 3.8% as Traffic Improves

Second-quarter net sales increased 5.3% year over year to $26.5 billion, while comparable sales rose 3.8%. Importantly, comparable traffic increased 3.6%, indicating that growth was driven largely by more customers rather than simply higher prices.

Digital comparable sales increased 8.7%, led by more than 25% growth in same-day delivery, while store comparable sales rose 2.7%.

Performance was also broad-based across Target’s merchandise portfolio. All six core categories recorded year-over-year sales growth, while Food & Beverage and Beauty delivered high-single-digit growth. Non-merchandise sales jumped 20.1%, supported by Target’s Roundel advertising business, Target Circle 360 memberships and the Target+ marketplace.

Earnings Double, Though Tariff Refunds Provide a Major Boost

Target reported EPS of $4.11, double the $2.05 recorded a year earlier. However, the headline increase included a substantial $1.65-per-share benefit from tariff refunds.

Even excluding that benefit, EPS increased approximately 20% year over year, providing a stronger indication of improvement in Target’s underlying profitability.

Gross margin also improved. Excluding tariff refunds, the gross margin rate expanded approximately 100 basis points from last year’s 29.0%, helped by lower markdown and purchase-order cancellation costs as well as growth in advertising and other non-merchandise businesses.

Target Raises 2026 Guidance

The upgraded outlook is likely one of the strongest catalysts behind the 5.2% stock gain.

Target now expects full-year net sales growth of around 5%, one percentage point above its previous guidance range. The company also raised GAAP and adjusted EPS guidance to $9.90-$10.90.

Even after removing the tariff-refund benefit, the midpoint of Target’s new earnings forecast is $0.75 above the midpoint of its previous $7.50-$8.50 guidance.

The combination of improving customer traffic, accelerating digital sales, broader category growth and higher underlying earnings expectations suggests Target’s operating recovery is gaining traction. For investors, maintaining this sales momentum without relying heavily on promotional activity will be an important factor to watch through the second half of 2026.

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WS News 08-19-26

Target Falls 6.5% as Margin Pressure and Elevated Costs Overshadow Strong Sales Growth

Target dropped 6.5% today despite reporting first quarter net sales growth of 6.7%, well above expectations, as investors focused on the margin picture and a profits outlook that fell well short of what the topline momentum might have suggested.

Net sales for the quarter reached $25.4 billion, up 6.7% year over year, with comparable sales growing 5.6% — comprising a 4.7% increase in comparable store sales and 8.9% digital comparable growth. Traffic grew 4.4%, all six core merchandise categories grew year over year, and same-day delivery powered by Target Circle 360 surged more than 27%. Non-merchandise sales, including Roundel advertising revenue and marketplace fees, grew nearly 25%. By almost any topline measure, the quarter was genuinely strong.

The problem was profitability. First quarter adjusted EPS came in at $1.71, up 32% from last year's adjusted $1.30 but 24% below the prior year's GAAP figure of $2.27, which included non-recurring legal settlement gains. Operating income margin of 4.5% remained thin, reflecting higher compensation costs, increased capital project spending and elevated marketing expense, only partially offset by supply chain productivity gains, lower markdown rates and non-merchandise revenue growth. Gross margin improved modestly to 29.0% from 28.2%, but SG&A as a percentage of sales crept higher.

For the full year, Target raised its net sales growth outlook by two percentage points to around 4%, and guided for GAAP and adjusted EPS near the high end of the prior $7.50 to $8.50 range. Operating margin is expected to improve more than 20 basis points above 2025's adjusted 4.6%.

CEO Michael Fiddelke acknowledged encouraging early signs from the company's clarified strategy while tempering expectations, noting there is much more work ahead and emphasizing the need for discipline in an uncertain operating environment.

The 6.5% decline reflects a market that found the margin trajectory and thin operating profitability difficult to reconcile with a valuation that demands more than modest earnings growth — particularly on a day when TJX demonstrated what truly exceptional retail execution looks like.

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WS Investor 05-20-26

Walmart vs. Target: Which Dividend King is the Better Buy?

Explore the key differences in the investment potential of Walmart vs. Target: which Dividend King is the better buy for you?

(thesmartinvestor.com.sg)

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WS Investor 01-24-26

Target posts lower Q3 sales but stronger digital growth; maintains Q4 outlook

Target reported third-quarter net sales of 25.3 billion dollars, down 1.5% from 2024, as discretionary categories remained soft. Digital comparable sales rose 2.4%, led by more than 35% growth in same-day delivery via Target Circle 360. Food & Beverage and Hardlines delivered growth, while non-merchandise revenue jumped nearly 18% on strength in Roundel, membership and marketplace services.

GAAP EPS came in at 1.51 dollars versus 1.85 dollars last year. Adjusted EPS, which excludes severance and asset-related charges, was 1.78 dollars.

Ahead of the holiday season, Target is offering more than 20,000 new items — half exclusive to the retailer — deeply discounted Thanksgiving meals, lower everyday prices on thousands of essentials, and expanded next-day shipping coverage.

Management kept its guidance for a low-single-digit sales decline in Q4. Full-year GAAP EPS is expected between 7.70 and 8.70 dollars, and adjusted EPS between 7.00 and 8.00 dollars.

Comparable sales fell 2.7% in Q3, with store sales down 3.8% and digital up 2.4%. Operating income dropped 18.9% to 0.9 billion dollars including non-recurring items; excluding them, operating income was 1.1 billion dollars, with an adjusted margin rate of 4.4%.

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Global Finance News 11-19-25

Retail Stocks to Watch as Consumer Sentiment Collapses: Walmart, Target, and Home Depot

Retail stocks ...

(articles.stockcharts.com)

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Global Finance News 11-10-25

Target Enters $1 Billion 364-Day Credit Agreement

Target Corporation (NYSE: TGT) announced that it entered into a new 364-day credit agreement on October 9, 2025, providing for loans of up to $1 billion, with the option to increase the facility by an additional $500 million. The agreement, led by Bank of America as administrative agent and Citibank as syndication agent, will mature on October 8, 2026.

The facility replaces Target’s previous $1 billion 364-day credit agreement dated October 15, 2024, which was scheduled to expire on October 14, 2025. Borrowings under the new agreement will bear interest at either a base rate or term SOFR rate plus an applicable margin tied to Target’s credit ratings. The company may convert outstanding loans at maturity into term loans due one year later.

The agreement includes standard covenants and default provisions, including a leverage ratio requirement for Target and its subsidiaries.

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European Investor 10-09-25

The board of directors of Target Corporation (NYSE: TGT) has declared a quarterly dividend of $1.14 per common share, a 1.8% increase from the prior quarterly dividend of $1.12. The dividend is payable Sept. 1, 2025 to shareholders of record at the close of business August 13, 2025. The 3rd quarter dividend will be the company's 232nd consecutive dividend paid since October 1967 when the company became publicly held. With the increase announced today, 2025 is on track to be the 54th consecutive year in which Target has increased its annual dividend.

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Global Finance News 06-12-25

Target Corporation Completes $1 Billion Debt Offering

Target Corporation has successfully closed a $1 billion debt offering, consisting of two tranches of senior notes. The company issued $500 million of 4.350% Notes due 2028 and another $500 million of 5.250% Notes due 2036. The offering was completed on June 10, 2025, under an underwriting agreement dated June 5, with Barclays Capital Inc., Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC, and J.P. Morgan Securities LLC acting as joint book-running managers.

The debt securities were issued under Target’s automatic shelf registration statement filed in November 2023 and governed by the company’s existing indenture with The Bank of New York Mellon Trust Company, N.A. Proceeds from the offering are expected to be used for general corporate purposes.

This latest issuance reinforces Target’s ongoing capital management strategy while securing attractive long-term financing amid evolving market conditions.

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ME NEWS 06-11-25

Target Reports Q1 2025 Earnings: Sales Decline, but Digital Growth and Legal Gains Boost Profits

Target Corporation reported Q1 2025 earnings of $2.27 per share (GAAP), up from $2.03 a year ago. However, adjusted EPS, excluding $593 million in pre-tax gains from credit card interchange fee settlements, was $1.30. Net sales fell 2.8% year-over-year to $23.8 billion, with a 3.8% decline in comparable sales. Store traffic dropped 2.4%, while digitally originated comparable sales rose 4.7%, driven by over 35% growth in same-day delivery via Target Circle 360.

Operating income rose 13.6% to $1.47 billion, partly due to the litigation settlement. Excluding this, the operating margin was 3.7%, down from last year. Gross margin declined slightly to 28.2% due to higher markdowns and fulfillment costs. SG&A expenses were down 10.8%, benefiting from legal gains.

Target launched an "acceleration office" led by Michael Fiddelke to speed up execution of core strategic initiatives and improve performance. CEO Brian Cornell noted that while the quarter had bright spots—like the kate spade collaboration—the company remains focused on returning to sustainable growth.

For full-year 2025, Target expects a low-single-digit sales decline. GAAP EPS is projected between $8.00 and $10.00, with adjusted EPS estimated at $7.00 to $9.00.
The company returned $761 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in Q1 and reported a trailing twelve-month ROIC of 15.1%.

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The Investor 05-22-25

Target Corporation Announces Early Departure of Strategic Advisor Don H. Liu

MINNEAPOLIS – Target Corporation has announced the early termination of the transition agreement with Don H. Liu, who had been serving in a non-executive strategic advisor role since August 24, 2024. Mr. Liu voluntarily elected to conclude his advisory position effective April 18, 2025, ahead of the original end date of May 24, 2025, as outlined in the previously disclosed agreement.

Mr. Liu’s transition agreement was originally part of Target’s leadership succession planning, following his prior role as Executive Vice President and Chief Legal & Risk Officer. The agreement, filed as Exhibit 10.23 to Target’s Form 10-Q for the quarter ended November 2, 2024, provided for his continued service in an advisory capacity during the transition.

The company thanked Mr. Liu for his continued contributions and leadership throughout his tenure at Target.

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ME NEWS 04-11-25

08-20-26WS News

08-19-26Global Finance News

Brent Crude

Brent Crude Jumps More Than 2% as U.S. Declares ‘Economic Warfare’ Against Iran

Brent crude oil climbed more than 2% on Thursday, extending its recent gains as the United States sharply escalated economic pressure on Iran, adding another layer of risk to an already fragile Middle East supply outlook.

Brent was trading around $93.70 per barrel in early trading, up approximately 2.3% on the day after starting from a previous reference level near $91.62.

The latest move puts Brent near its highest levels in several weeks, with geopolitical developments once again dominating the oil market.

U.S. Announces ‘Economic Warfare’ Against Iran

The main catalyst behind Thursday’s oil rally is President Donald Trump’s announcement of what he described as “Economic Warfare and Isolation on an unprecedented scale” against Iran.

Trump said the United States would launch what he called the “most crushing economic operation” ever imposed on a country and warned that countries providing Iran with financial, commercial or other economic support could themselves face significant economic consequences. (Reuters)

The announcement represents a significant escalation in Washington’s pressure campaign against Tehran and increases uncertainty surrounding Iranian oil exports and regional energy flows.

For crude markets, the critical issue is not simply the sanctions themselves but the possibility that tougher U.S. measures could restrict Iranian exports further, discourage countries from trading with Tehran and prolong the broader conflict.

Brent has now advanced for several consecutive sessions as concerns over Middle East supplies intensify.

UAE-Iran Tensions Add to Supply Concerns

The U.S. announcement is not the only geopolitical factor supporting oil.

The United Arab Emirates has suspended financial and economic ties with Iran, further reducing prospects for a near-term diplomatic breakthrough and adding another source of uncertainty to regional trade and energy flows.

With diplomatic channels under pressure and Washington shifting toward a more aggressive economic campaign, traders increasingly face the possibility that the disruption surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz could persist longer than previously expected.

What to Watch for Brent Crude

The immediate direction of Brent will remain closely tied to developments between Washington and Tehran.

Markets will be watching for details on how the new U.S. economic measures will be implemented, particularly whether Washington introduces tougher restrictions on Iranian oil buyers, financial institutions or shipping networks.

Any measures that materially reduce Iranian exports or further disrupt traffic through the Strait of Hormuz could push the geopolitical premium in Brent higher. Conversely, renewed negotiations or signs of de-escalation could quickly remove part of that premium.

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The Investor 08-20-26

Brent Crude Holds Above $91 as Hormuz Uncertainty Supports Oil Prices

Brent crude remained above $91 per barrel on Wednesday as persistent uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz and the U.S.-Iran conflict continued to support global oil prices.

Brent futures were trading around $91.31, up 0.32%, extending their five-day gain to approximately 2.6%. Prices have climbed to their highest levels since late July as traders continue to price a geopolitical risk premium into crude.

Strait of Hormuz Remains the Key Risk

The central driver remains uncertainty over shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Before the conflict, roughly one-fifth of global oil and LNG supplies passed through the Strait. Political signals have remained contradictory. U.S. President Donald Trump said Tuesday that no talks were taking place with Iran and maintained that the Strait was open. Iran, however, said the waterway would remain closed until the U.S. meets conditions including lifting oil sanctions and its blockade of Iranian ports.

Any progress toward restoring normal shipping could remove some of Brent's geopolitical premium, while further disruption or escalation in the U.S.-Iran conflict could push prices higher again.

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WS Investor 08-19-26

Brent Crude Rises Above $91 as U.S.-Iran Tensions Renew Supply Fears

Brent crude oil extended its advance on Tuesday, climbing above $91 per barrel as fading hopes for a U.S.-Iran peace agreement and continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz increased concerns about global energy supplies.

Brent crude futures were trading around $91.32 per barrel in early trading, up approximately 0.5%. The benchmark briefly approached $91.75 during the session after settling 2.65% higher at $90.87 on Monday.

U.S.-Iran Diplomacy Stalls

The latest move follows a deterioration in relations between Washington and Tehran. Iran said it would shift to a “fully offensive” military posture after negotiations toward a permanent end to the conflict stalled, while the U.S. ruled out extending the temporary ceasefire agreement.

The breakdown in diplomacy has increased concerns that disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz could persist. Shipping activity remains extremely limited.

Supply Risk Keeps Brent Above $90

The geopolitical risk premium has returned rapidly to the oil market. Brent has now risen for a third consecutive session, while restricted tanker traffic and uncertainty over the duration of the Middle East conflict continue to raise concerns about the availability and transportation cost of regional crude supplies.

For oil markets, the Strait of Hormuz remains the critical factor. A diplomatic breakthrough that restores tanker traffic could remove part of the current risk premium, while further military escalation or prolonged shipping disruption could keep Brent elevated and increase the possibility of another move toward $100 per barrel.

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Global Finance News 08-18-26

Brent Crude Rises 1.5% as U.S. Threatens New Economic Pressure on Iran

Brent crude oil futures are up about 1.5% on Friday, trading near $88.35 per barrel, as renewed U.S.-Iran tensions increased concerns over Middle East oil supplies and the security of flows through the Strait of Hormuz.

The latest move follows comments from U.S. officials indicating that Washington is preparing significantly tougher economic measures against Iran. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the administration plans to announce measures next week aimed at imposing an unprecedented level of economic isolation on Tehran. (Reuters)

Iran Sanctions and Hormuz Risks Lift Oil

The prospect of additional sanctions is adding a geopolitical risk premium to crude prices because tighter economic restrictions could further constrain Iranian oil trade and complicate efforts to stabilize regional energy flows. At the same time, the U.S. has indicated that its naval blockade of Iranian ports could be maintained indefinitely.

Friday's rise also represents a reversal from the previous session, when oil prices came under pressure from concerns about weaker demand and rising U.S. crude inventories. Brent is nevertheless on course for a weekly gain of around 4%, highlighting how geopolitical supply risks continue to outweigh some of the bearish demand signals.

The immediate direction for Brent is likely to remain highly sensitive to details of the upcoming U.S. measures, developments surrounding the blockade and any progress—or further deterioration—in negotiations with Iran. A further escalation that threatens physical oil flows could keep upward pressure on prices, while signs of renewed negotiations could quickly reduce the geopolitical premium.

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WS Investor 08-14-26

Brent Crude Falls 1.4% as Weaker Demand Outlook and U.S. Inventory Build Pressure Oil Prices

Brent crude oil fell sharply Thursday, with futures dropping about 1.4% to $87.76 per barrel as concerns over weakening global oil demand outweighed continuing geopolitical risks in the Middle East.

Large U.S. Inventory Build Adds Pressure

Another bearish factor came from the United States, where crude inventories unexpectedly surged by 17.4 million barrels, the largest weekly increase since January 2023. The substantial build, driven partly by lower exports, reinforced concerns that the physical market may be becoming better supplied.

Brent consequently moved down from around $89 earlier in the session and briefly approached $87.50 before recovering slightly.

Iran Risks Continue to Limit the Downside

Geopolitical conditions remain an important counterweight. The continuing U.S.-Iran standoff and uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz maintain a significant risk premium in crude prices, particularly given the importance of the waterway to global energy flows.

For now, however, demand concerns and rising U.S. inventories are dominating trading. Brent’s ability to hold above the $87-$88 area may depend on whether Middle East supply risks intensify again or incoming inventory and demand data provide evidence of tighter market conditions.

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Global Finance News 08-13-26

Brent Crude Rises Toward $90 as Strait of Hormuz Risks Keep Supply Concerns Elevated

Brent crude oil prices moved higher on Wednesday, extending recent gains as renewed tensions in the Middle East reduced hopes for a near-term normalization of oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent futures were up around 0.55% at $89.40 per barrel in early trading, after briefly moving above $90. The international benchmark has strengthened in recent sessions as geopolitical developments once again put supply risks at the center of the oil market.

Strait of Hormuz Remains the Main Driver

The latest advance comes after new maritime attacks involving Iran-aligned Houthis and the United States further weakened expectations for an easing of the regional conflict. Iran has also maintained that the Strait of Hormuz will remain restricted unless its conditions are met, keeping uncertainty around one of the world's most important energy transit routes elevated.

The situation has become particularly important for crude pricing because roughly one-fifth of global oil and LNG supplies normally passed through the Strait before the conflict. Expectations that restrictions could ease had previously removed some of the geopolitical premium from crude prices, but fading prospects for a rapid reopening are now rebuilding that premium.

Supply Outlook Supports Higher Prices

The U.S. Energy Information Administration has also significantly revised its near-term oil outlook because of the disruption. The EIA now expects Brent spot prices to average around $85 per barrel during the third quarter, $11 above its previous forecast, citing reduced shipments through the Strait of Hormuz and the resulting decline in global inventories.

However, the agency expects some of the current pressure to ease later in the year. If traffic through Hormuz gradually increases and shut-in Middle Eastern production returns, the EIA forecasts Brent averaging around $78 per barrel in the fourth quarter.

What to Watch

For Brent, developments surrounding the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant near-term catalyst. Any indication of progress toward reopening the waterway or a broader U.S.-Iran agreement could quickly reduce the geopolitical risk premium. Conversely, further attacks on vessels or energy infrastructure could push supply concerns higher and renew pressure on the $90 level.

U.S. inflation data will also be closely watched Wednesday. Higher oil prices themselves have become an important inflation risk, meaning the interaction between geopolitical tensions, energy costs and monetary-policy expectations could contribute to continued volatility across commodity markets.

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European Investor 08-12-26

Brent Crude Rises Above $84 as Hormuz Uncertainty and New Regional Attacks Support Oil Prices

Brent crude oil moved higher Monday as uncertainty over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz combined with renewed attacks on energy infrastructure in the Middle East, keeping geopolitical supply risks firmly in focus.

Brent futures were trading around $84.52 per barrel, up 1.16%, bringing the benchmark close to the $85 level after a volatile several days.

The latest move comes as negotiations over the Strait of Hormuz remain uncertain. According to Reuters, Iran says it is nearing an agreement with Oman on new shipping lanes through the strait, but Tehran has tied a full reopening to additional U.S. concessions.

Saudi Refinery Attack Adds to Supply Concerns

Fresh attacks over the weekend have added another layer of risk to the oil market.

According to Reuters, Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis said they attacked Saudi Aramco's Jazan refinery on Sunday, just days after Saudi Arabia signed a new defense pact with Turkey and Pakistan. Saudi Arabia's Energy Ministry confirmed that a fire occurred at the refinery and was extinguished without injuries, although it did not attribute the incident to the Houthis.

The escalation was not limited to Saudi territory. Reuters also reported that the Houthis attacked the Yemeni Red Sea port city of Mocha, killing seven people and wounding 30. Yemeni air defenses reportedly intercepted 11 drones during the assault.

These developments are particularly relevant to crude markets because the Houthis have declared a naval blockade against Saudi Arabia in the Red Sea. With Hormuz already disrupted, the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb have become even more important for regional energy exports.

According to Al Jazeera, the broader regional security environment also remains fragile as Iran and the U.S. continue negotiations while Tehran maintains conditions for a lasting agreement.

Brent Approaches $85

The combination of uncertain Hormuz negotiations and renewed attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure helps explain why crude prices remain elevated despite diplomatic efforts.

Brent's rise to $84.52 suggests traders are maintaining a substantial geopolitical risk premium. A credible agreement that restores normal shipping through Hormuz could pressure prices lower, but further attacks on Saudi facilities or disruptions around the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb could have the opposite effect.

For now, the combination of fragile negotiations and renewed regional attacks is keeping supply uncertainty elevated and supporting Brent crude near $85 per barrel.

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The Investor 08-10-26

Brent Crude Rises as Iran’s Hormuz Demands Renew Supply Concerns

Brent crude prices moved higher on Friday as uncertainty over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz returned to the center of the oil market. The contract shown was trading around $79.83 per barrel, up roughly 1.3%.

According to Reuters⁠, Iran, working with Oman, has proposed restrictions that would prevent vessels it considers “hostile,” including U.S. and Israeli ships, from using the Strait. The proposal also reportedly includes penalties of up to 20% of cargo value for violations.

Hormuz Uncertainty Restores Risk Premium

The demands have raised doubts that negotiations will quickly restore normal commercial traffic through the crucial waterway. U.S. officials have also indicated that Washington would not accept an arrangement effectively leaving Iran in control of the Strait, according to Al Jazeera⁠.

The Strait of Hormuz normally handles roughly one-fifth of global oil supply, making any restrictions on shipping an immediate concern for energy markets.

For now, Brent is likely to remain highly sensitive to the negotiations. A workable agreement allowing normal tanker traffic could reduce the geopolitical premium, while further restrictions or a breakdown in talks could push supply concerns—and oil prices—higher.

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WS News 08-07-26

Crude Oil Plunges as U.S.-Iran Diplomatic Hopes Ease Supply Concerns

Crude oil prices fell sharply on Monday, with WTI crude dropping more than 5% to around $76 per barrel, as investors reacted to signs of a potential diplomatic breakthrough between the United States and Iran that could reduce supply disruption risks in the Middle East.

The selloff followed reports that negotiations between Washington and Tehran have gained momentum, with mediators circulating a draft agreement and U.S. officials expressing optimism that a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz could be reached within days. The prospect of easing tensions significantly reduced the geopolitical risk premium that had driven oil prices higher in recent weeks. ([Reuters][1])

Diplomatic Developments Reverse War Premium

Oil had rallied sharply during the U.S.-Iran conflict on fears that disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz could constrain global crude supplies. However, markets quickly repriced those risks after President Donald Trump suspended planned military action against Iran in favor of renewed diplomatic efforts.

Additional pressure came from OPEC+'s planned production increase for September, reinforcing expectations of stronger global supply should geopolitical risks continue to ease.

What to Watch

Markets will closely monitor developments in U.S.-Iran negotiations and any progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz. While hopes for a diplomatic resolution have pushed oil sharply lower, the situation remains fragile, and any setback in negotiations or renewed military escalation could quickly restore the geopolitical premium in crude prices.

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European Investor 08-04-26

Brent Crude Holds Above $91 as U.S.-Iran Tensions and Fed Outlook Keep Oil in Focus

Brent crude traded around $91.40 per barrel on Thursday, up 0.7% in early trading, as renewed military escalation between the United States and Iran kept a geopolitical risk premium embedded in oil prices.

Recent exchanges between Washington and Tehran have raised concerns that the conflict could threaten energy flows through key shipping routes in the Middle East, particularly the Strait of Hormuz. While no major supply disruptions have materialized, traders continue to price in the possibility of tighter global oil supplies if tensions escalate further.

Oil also remained in focus following Wednesday's Federal Reserve policy decision. As widely expected, the Fed left interest rates unchanged, while signaling that future decisions will remain data dependent. However, persistently higher crude prices could complicate the inflation outlook in the months ahead. If elevated energy costs begin feeding into broader consumer prices, the Fed may have less room to consider interest rate cuts at upcoming meetings.

The latest advance leaves Brent comfortably above the psychologically important $90 level, supporting energy producers while increasing inflation concerns for oil-importing economies.

Looking ahead, investors will closely monitor developments in the Middle East, U.S. inflation data, and comments from Federal Reserve officials. Any further escalation between the U.S. and Iran could keep upward pressure on oil prices, while signs of easing geopolitical tensions may trigger profit-taking after the recent rally.

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European Investor 07-30-26

08-20-26WS Investor

08-19-26WS Investor

08-18-26Global Finance News

08-17-26WS News

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Walmart vs. Target: Which Dividend King is the Better Buy?

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