Here’s a summary of today’s key insights from Goldman Sachs Briefings:
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon is optimistic about the business environment and expects capital markets activity to return to 10-year averages in 2025. He attributes this to regulatory changes and a more collaborative investment landscape.
China's AI development is expected to boost AI adoption globally by lowering costs and increasing accessibility. Some Chinese AI models are reportedly cheaper to build, prompting US AI-related stocks to drop by 10% earlier this week.
Investor sentiment is shifting in 2025. Gold is increasingly favored, with 32% of surveyed investors calling it the best investment choice, up from 5% last year. India remains the top emerging market investment destination due to its manufacturing expansion and 6.5% expected economic growth through 2030. The "S&P 493" (excluding the Magnificent 7) is expected to outperform the broader S&P 500.
Goldman Sachs Asset Management sees India’s private equity and capital markets growing but warns of high valuations. Private credit demand is expected to rise due to M&A financing needs.
US stocks remain attractive, with Goldman Sachs' Investment Strategy Group (ISG) maintaining an overweight position. They expect an 8% return for the S&P 500 in 2025 but anticipate slower outperformance versus non-US stocks over the next five years.
Despite strong gains in gold and bitcoin in 2024, ISG does not view them as strategic portfolio assets, citing volatility and lack of cash flow generation.
Nuclear energy is gaining attention due to rising power demand from AI data centers.
2025-01-31
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